this post was submitted on 10 Jun 2024
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Image is of Cuba's National People's Power Assembly.


The most recent geopolitical news around Cuba is the arrival this week of four Russian vessels, including a nuclear submarine - not carrying any nukes, (un)fortunately - to Havana. This will, in Putin's words, merely be a visit celebrating historical ties and no laws are being broken. Nonetheless, it's not hard to imagine how American politicians and analysts are taking the news, especially as it comes shortly after Russia promised an "asymmetrical" response to further NATO involvement in Ukraine (notably, officially allowing the use of US weapons such as missiles in Russia, albeit in a small part of Russian territory, near the border).

Meanwhile, China has been increasingly co-operating with Cuba to overcome the economic hardship created by American sanctions. China has recently re-allowed direct flights to Cuba and has recently donated some small photovoltaic plants as part of an initiative to eventually boost the Cuban energy grid by 1000 MW - and any electrical expansion helps as Cuba is plagued by blackouts which last most of the day. Additionally, the EU has made meaningful contributions to Cuba's energy situation too, with large solar installations. Hopefully, the Belt and Road Initiative will help preserve the Cuban revolution against reactionary forces as the power of US sanctions wanes. The proximity of Cuba to the United States makes this much more challenging than it would be for countries elsewhere, however. Similarly to the situation in Mexico, it seems unlikely that the US's influence over Cuba will massively diminish for decades to come unless there is a catastrophic internal collapse in the American authoritarian regime.

The Havana Syndrome will continue until American morale declines.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Cuba! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 57 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (11 children)
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[–] [email protected] 57 points 5 months ago

Old news, but Slovenia also recognized Palestine recently

[–] [email protected] 57 points 5 months ago (6 children)

BIDEN: "She know long! She knew suhlongasuhijeruhhnied, our freedom can never be secured"

Just a stutter, lmao.

Link is a chud account tho, https://nitter.poast.org/RNCResearch/status/1800335769539694742#m

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 5 months ago (4 children)

I made a post about this in the podcasts comm, but I think the news heads here should be aware of it. The latest episode of Electronic Intifada interviews a political economist involved in BDS. They cover the possible economic collapse of Israel. Really interesting stuff.

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[–] [email protected] 57 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Cuba after Mexico, I see what you did there !

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 5 months ago (5 children)
[–] [email protected] 56 points 5 months ago (1 children)

China has recently re-allowed direct flights to Cuba

Why were they disallowed in the first place?

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 5 months ago (11 children)
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[–] [email protected] 56 points 5 months ago (21 children)

US Supreme Court Lifts Ban on Bump Stocks

The US Supreme Court has lifted a ban bump stocks, the rapid-fire gun accessory used in America's deadliest mass shooting. In a decision on Friday, the court said the government did not have the right to ban the accessories... The court said a semi-automatic rifle with an attachment does not qualify as a machine gun under federal law.

The Supreme Court’s opinion, written by conservative Justice Clarence Thomas, said the Bureau of Alcohol Tobacco and Firearms had “exceeded” its authority. The court, quoting part of the legal definition of machine guns, said rifles with a bump stock "cannot fire more than one shot 'by a single function of the trigger', and even if they could, they would not do so 'automatically'".

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 5 months ago (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Russian Language map:

2010 Election results - Yanukovych was pro Russian candidate:

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago (6 children)

First polling in France: RN on 31%, left alliance 28%, Renaissance (Macron’s party) 18%.

I hope macron eats shit and dies

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago (9 children)

look at this dying empire not even able to paint its Ships .. You are an Embarresment for dying empires !

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

NYT: Pro-democracy activists sentenced to life in prison! "The convictions show how the authorities have used the sweeping powers of a national security law imposed by Beijing to quash dissent across broad swathes of society." (Archive)

The reality: "‘Dragon Slaying Brigade’ leader Wong Chun-keung says he spent money raised through crowdfunding on petrol bombs, but also on trip to Thailand, betting and loan repayments" , "Wong has admitted to a joint conspiracy charge of planting two bombs in Wan Chai on December 8, 2019" (SCMP)

Edit - A connected trial but not the same one. But we definitely don't hear anything about the second trial in the Western press.

Via https://mronline.org/2024/06/10/what-western-mainstream-media-wont-tell-us-about-china/

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago (3 children)
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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (4 children)

Perhaps this isn’t the most important thing, but just something interesting to know about Cuba:

Initially, the World Baseball Classic fielded a “Cuban” team that wasn’t sanctioned by the government of Cuba or the Cuban Baseball Federation. So it was run by MLB and was made up of defectors. Then in 2023, for the fifth WBC, the Cuban Baseball Federation was allowed to field a team directed by them. It included Cuban nationals who didn’t defect and haven’t been trash talking Cuba since playing in MLB. So the team included some legit pros like Yoan Moncada and Eloy Jiminez. They got beat but for the first time it was a truly “Cuban” team. I have hard time criticizing people for their funko pops and stuff because I spent more than I should to get a 2023 Cuba WBC baseball cap.

The situation with baseball player defectors is tricky. On one hand, I feel it just isn’t worth the negative press Cuba gets for trying to stop baseball players from defecting. I get it when you’re talking about like doctors or engineers. But pro athletes are particularly socially necessary. Just let them go.

OTOH, the US policy of granting citizenship (or permanent residency, I don’t remember which) to anyone in Cuba really does tie Cuba’s hands here. What Cuba has done economically despite the blockade is nothing short of heroic. Cuba can boast better living standards than the rest of the Caribbean. But… it’s still a poor country (which would be significantly poorer if it was run by capitalists subservient to US hegemony). If there was any other poor country whose people could get US citizenship or permanent residency just by being there and defecting, then you can bet that most people who came there as part of a sports team would take that offer. And even if athletes aren’t quite socially necessary, that’s gotta be pretty demoralizing that if every time your baseball team goes to play in the US, half the players don’t come back. This has nothing to do with “authoritarianism”, it’s the position that any country with any system of governance would have to deal with.

So Cuba doesn’t really have any good options here, but it’s the fault entirely of US policy.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Bolivian President Arce says BRICS have broken the hegemony of the United States

The Bolivian president stressed that his country is aiming to join the bloc

Article

The BRICS economies have been able to break the hegemony of the United States, said Bolivian President Luis Arce at the plenary meeting of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF). “Today, the world order is changing towards a fairer and more balanced state, based on multipolarity and multilateralism,” he said. “The economies of the BRICS bloc have managed to break the hegemony of the United States, and they are the hope for the development of cooperation and complementarity between countries.”

The Bolivian president stressed that his country is looking forward to participating in BRICS because it offers “tremendous prospects for transformation and transfiguration along with accelerated industrialization”.

The BRICS group has seen two waves of expansion since its creation in 2006. In 2011, South Africa joined the four founding nations: Brazil, Russia, India and China. In August 2023, six new members, including Argentina, were invited to join the group. However, Argentina declined the invitation at the end of December. Five new members - Egypt, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Ethiopia - were integrated into the BRICS family on January 1, 2024.

The St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) will be held from June 5 to 8. This year's theme will be “The Formation of New Growth Areas as the Cornerstone of a Multipolar World”. Scheduled events include meetings for small and medium-sized enterprises, creative industries, the SPIEF Youth Day, as well as the Drug Safety, SPIEF Academy and SPIEF Junior forums. SPIEF is organized by the Roscongress Foundation.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Calling all Russian bots. Calling all Russian bots. It is now open seasons again to hunt down and cook up some nafo hotdogs on the grill.

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Everyone goes around saying "oh China is doing this but at what cost?" or "China achieved that but at what cost?" But nobody says "Yeah, Capitalism developed the productive forces like no other but at what cost?"

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

Wild speculation time:

Something about Macron’s troop deployments seems very performative.

Perhaps performative in the more obvious sense that he wants to boil the frog and sending in “trainers and advisers” is the thin end of the wedge before sending in troops to make NATO intervention in Ukraine a fait accompli.

But what if it’s performative in another way?

We all know what the outcome of this war looks like. Russia takes the eastern provinces and maybe more, perhaps up to the Dnieper in the south but probably not that far in the north, probably also takes Cherson but probably not Odessa, and maybe Kharkiv maybe not, depending on how good a resistance Ukraine puts up before the negotiations really start. Ukraine won’t be allowed to join NATO and no NATO bases but probably will be allowed to have some security guarantees with the major western players and perhaps even a relationship with NATO that stops short of allowing forward deployments.

So a few significant uncertainties, sure, but the broad shape of it is clear now.

Zelenskyy probably needs to go before this deal can really happen, and there would need to be some force that the Ukrainian public trusts that can prevent the Nazi faction from simply installing another Zelenskyy.

France is in conflict with Russia and has lost out big in Africa and is being poked in the eye in New Caledonia, but is also hitting back to some extent in Armenia.

The UK is a wreckage and Germany is not very strong. Poland is already taking an antagonistic posture towards Ukraine that will probably only get worse especially after the conflict is over and Ukraine has a settlement with Russia.

We don’t need to talk about Italy or Spain or anyone else in Europe.

Leaving France.

They are hostile to Russia and engaged in an active “great game”.

But this great game has at least some ground rules and operates mostly as a struggle over spheres of influence while respecting national borders. It’s constrained great power shit between two second tier military powers.

Germany would continue to be the US’s most loyal dog in Europe and will lead the Central European & Baltic alliance, funding strong defensive works but also putting the brakes on the more rabid Russophobia because Germany even today is against actually getting directly involved in shit and definitely against doing anything that isn’t preapproved by Washington.

France as the regional power delegated control of the rump Ukrainian state would be advantageous to the US by keeping Europe still split between two deeply linked but identifiably distinct power blocs, it would place a power hostile to Russia as the designated subhegemon in southern Eastern Europe and would complement French influence in Armenia to a degree by inserting France into the Black Sea making it the obvious choice for Georgia if Georgia decides to throw down again or in the event of another color revolution. And France has at least historical links with the general region, having recently been a colonial power in the area and having shoved its Gallic nose into the Middle East again and again since the crusades.

France as subhegemon in a rump Ukraine would be an adversary to Russia, but still it would probably be acceptable to Russia to divide Ukraine into two spheres of control, assuming that Russia does not want or cannot occupy all of Ukraine - or both it doesn’t want and actually cannot occupy all of Ukraine which seems to be the case in fact.

So assuming Russia will realpolitik this and accept it both cannot and strategically should not occupy all of Ukraine then it needs to accept that rump Ukraine will be within the western sphere of influence.

And if they don’t want that sphere of influence to be NATO itself, and since they likely both cannot and don’t want to completely dominate Ukraine militarily, then they need to accept some kind of western presence / sphere of influence that stops short of NATO.

What’s more while France is definitely a dog of the US empire, it’s a bit of a Husky. It doesn’t like to do what it’s told. It’s not Germany and will prioritize French interests over US interests, which makes it a good compromise position for Russia since a French presence is Ukraine is actually very different to a NATO presence in Ukraine while still being a western anchor. It also doesn’t hurt that Macron does the same macho bullshit that Putin does and they speak a similar language.

French “advisers” in Ukraine could fairly quickly gain key influence over the military and promote the more pragmatic military faction to force the hard nationalists to accept a compromise and they would be a friend of Ukraine while doing it.

Escalation from “just a few dozen advisers” to actual boots on the ground is a process that will take at least the rest of this year and into next, which is also when the new round of western military aid will start to run out, meaning this is the window for Ukraine to cut a deal.

6-12 months to cut a deal, a suitable western subhegemon that will reliably maintain hostility to Russia while still playing the “great game” and accepting realist compromise in a rules-of-the-jungle based world order.

Acceptable to Russia as preferable to nato, acceptable to the US, acceptable to Ukraine as saviors. Choreographed.

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 5 months ago (1 children)

milei posting more AI generated images and general cringe. Here he says that there have been "great news" from e*rope thanks to the victories of the far right parties in the latest elections. He also claims responsibility for their victory, saying his Davos speech (where he spoke about Communism, the imminent fall of western civilization and LGBT bad) inspired millions to "open their eyes" and vote for fascists and neonazis. . Wait a second, I thought libertarians were supposed to hate fascism and nationalism?!?!? shocked-pikachu.

Anyway, that doesn't surprise me at all. What I love is the AI rendered image. It's him holding europe? But it's fucked up. Ukraine is shredded, Finland shredded, northern Russia grew a mutation of some sort and huge chunks of it and Belarus as completely missing, even though neither of those countries are in the EU. For some reason parts of Turkey and Syria are shown. He's holding the UK, please I beg him to crush it. Unfortunately Ireland was indeed crushed. Iceland is missing, RIP. Also why does he have medals? What is the instrument that is hand is holding that's literally puncturing Spain? Some sort of compass?

I cringe a lot when I see AI generated images but I can't stop looking at them. The more you look, the worse it is. Like the presidential band and part of his body are cut when you look at it near Sicily, it's just gone. The stars of the EU flag are not aligned. His index finger of his left hand is fucked up, is that a cigarette?

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Lmao Macron Dissolved Parliament and is holding a snap election

[–] [email protected] 53 points 5 months ago

Yeah but the U.S. media said that all of these blew themselves up though

More than eight months into Israel’s devastating assault on Gaza, the territory’s healthcare system is barely functioning, with the World Health Organization reporting this week that there have been 464 Israeli attacks on Gaza’s healthcare system since October 7, affecting 101 health facilities.

https://truthout.org/video/israel-has-carried-out-464-attacks-on-gazas-health-care-system-since-october-7/

[–] [email protected] 53 points 5 months ago (8 children)

China recently scrambled fighter jets and threatened a dutch warship that was launching helicopters off the coast of Shanghai.

https://www.newsweek.com/china-responds-after-its-figher-jets-confront-dutch-warship-1911168

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 5 months ago (5 children)

What do we make of Hamas accepting the UN ceasefire agreement? The fact that Blinken is pushing it makes me feel like it can’t be good… but Hamas did accept it and I don’t think they would abide an agreement with major poison pills in it.

[–] [email protected] 54 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Yea there is a reason Russia abstained.

The representative of the Russian Federation said that from the very outset of the military escalation, Moscow has advocated for a permanent ceasefire. On the adopted resolution, he said that “its sponsors did not keep the Council in the loop of the agreement’s details”. Noting that “there was no negotiation process”, he also pointed out that — even though Hamas is called upon to accept this so-called deal — there is no clarity regarding official agreement from Israel. In this regard, he recalled numerous statements by Israel that “it will continue in its war until Hamas is defeated”. The Council should not sign up to agreements with vague parameters and without a clear understanding of the parties’ position, he asserted. Also, the adoption of yet another document — the content of which raises questions — undermines the Council’s authority as the main body for the maintenance of international peace and security. “We do not wish to block the resolution as the Arab world supports it,” he said. However, the questions raised by Moscow require a response.

https://press.un.org/en/2024/sc15723.doc.htm

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 5 months ago (2 children)

To stop the far right, France's leftist parties come to agreement for legislative elections and announce union: “Popular Front”. “A page in the history of France is being written with the New Popular Front”, say the parties in a joint statement.

François Hollande, former president of France, celebrates unity of the left in the legislative elections: “To prevent the far right from coming to power, there comes a time when we must go beyond our differences.”

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 5 months ago (10 children)

More dumb ass airforce cope

https://archive.is/k15Wg

US Navy Operations Specialist explains why although the S-400 SAM System radar can detect the F-22 and F-35 it can’t achieve “weapons lock” on them

So before we've seen these dipshits and clowns say u.s stealth jets have fuckin romulan cloaking technology that the pesky Chinese communists are weak against, now we're seeing a bit of the truth come out with the fact that stealth planes aren't actually stealthy and the u.s government's enemies can detect them with the tech they already have.

That said they make a playful addendum saying that they can see the jets but they can't hit them.

Stealth fighters

The F-35 Lightning II is the most advanced node in 21st Century Security: It brings stealth, sensor fusion, and interoperability to enable access in contested environments and enhances situational awareness. jagoff

Like the F-35, the F-22 brings an unrivaled stealth capability to the fight: the Raptor is designed to project air dominance, rapidly and at great distances and defeat threats attempting to deny access to our US Air Force, Army, Navy and Marine Corps.

jagoff

The F-22 was built to be an air-to-air superiority fighter and the F-35 was built to be a strike fighter. These airplanes complement each other and when the Raptor and Lightning II come together, it brings out the strength of both airplanes.

Like dried squid and peanut butter being grilled over a charcoal fire.

But can radars of advanced air defense systems like the Russian S-400 Surface to Air Missile (SAM) detect the F-22 the F-35 thus putting them at risk in a high threat environment?

Lol fucking forgot an "and" between the two shitbirds.

The S-400 SAM System radar can detect the F-22 and F-35 but it can’t achieve “weapons lock” on them

Eric Wicklund, former US Navy Operations Specialist, explains on Quora;

Fuck off with making dogshit articles based off of random shit you see on knock-off reddit

‘Yes, it can… “eventually,” but this fact comes with a significant caveat, one Russia doesn’t want you to know. That caveat is: By the time an S-400 can get a lock on F-22/F-35, these planes have already fired ordnance to destroy the S-400 radar.

jagoff

‘When using radar against anything, there’s a difference between “detection” and obtaining a “weapons lock.” They are not synonymous. Without a weapons lock, you cannot successfully engage what you are tracking. So, an S-400 can get a “weapons lock” on F-22 or F-35 at about 20–30 miles depending on conditions (the actual figure is classified).

That means this jackass is talking out of his ass because he sure as fuck doesn't have the security clearance to know the truth. It's literally vibes based.

’The bad thing for the S-400 is either the F-22 or F-35 can release a JDAM or SDB II bomb long before that happens. An F-35 can release an AGM-88 HARM (High-Speed Anti-Radiation) missile waaay before (from 60 miles away) that S-400 gets that lock. What this means is that these planes can complete their mission (destroying the S-400) before the S-400 can even begin its mission.

jagoff

The S-400 is doomed from the start

‘In short…the S-400 is doomed from the start. ‘Pundits will claim that the Nebo-M radar used in the S-400 system can “detect” a stealth fighter from further out. That is true, but since it is doing this with an L-band radar, about all it can do it “detect.”’

jagoff

Wicklund concludes;

‘As I pointed out above, “detection” isn’t good enough to attack a stealth aircraft. You need that “weapons lock” and Russia needs their X-band radars to get that. But they won’t get that before missiles and bombs, set on destroying the Russian radars, are already screaming in.’

jagoff

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Maybe Macron wants reelection and wants to be dethroned because he doesn't want to swim in the Seine River, which is probably full of shit? Will we see Le Pen swimming in shit??

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 5 months ago (3 children)

https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1dhbgws/ua_pov_countries_that_have_signed_the_ukraine/

Final map of countries that signed the joint communique at the Ukraine "peace" summit. Pretty much just international-community-1international-community-2 with a sprinkling of a few extra countries.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 5 months ago (1 children)
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