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Only 7% of Arab American voters plan on voting for President Biden (lemm.ee)

submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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https://adc.org/community-pulse/

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

surveyed to measure vote choice in the upcoming Presidential election amongst Arab American voters, and our allies.

What does "our allies" mean in this context? Who did they actually survey, a representative group of Arab Americans or just members and supporters of their particular organization? Because it sure sounds like the latter.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Further down they say it is 36,139 Arab American and allied voters who are signed up to their community pulse https://support.adc.org/a/communitypulse

I would think "our allies" would mostly be Muslim Americans. The two groups are separate but have some overlap and both vote similarly on Middle East and North Africa issues.

"ADC was founded by former U.S. Senator James Abourezk in 1980. Today, ADC is the largest Arab American grassroots organization in the U.S." Per their own about page, I think their numbers should be taken seriously.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Taken seriously, yes, but I think it's problematic painting this as the opinion of Arab Americans in general. Taking a look at their press releases, it's immediately clear that they're vocally against Joe Biden. Granted, that's probably a majority opinion among Arab-Americans for understandable reasons, but most Arab Americans who do support him, or Trump for that matter, will not be signed up with them. So I think this survey has an inherent bias and very likely paints a distorted picture.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

You are probably right about those who are for Trump simply because they won't share any of the concerns Arab Americans have, just like with any minority that votes for Trump, they tend to be out of touch with their group. But for Biden I think not, because until October 2023 Biden or at least the Democratic Party had mainstream support among Arab Americans and the ADC has been around for decades. But since then there has been a true backlash, Biden lost people who were passionate supporters, campaigners and donors.

Maysoon Zayid, a Palestinian American comedian, did everything she could to get Joe Biden elected in 2020.

She starred in a comedy event boosting him. She spoke on a call organized by the Biden campaign featuring Arab women supporting him. Biden’s team even touted her endorsement in a press release.

But after watching how Biden has navigated the Israel-Hamas war over the last two weeks, Zayid said she can no longer vote for him in 2024.

‘The man broke my heart’: Biden’s Arab-American boosters begin to leave his side

Edit:

The Arab American Institute also have their polling methodology and Biden drops to 17%, higher than 7% but this is older data from November 2023 when people still had hope Biden would do the right thing:

Not everyone feels the same. Back in the U.S., Palestinian and Arab Americans have expressed outrage over Biden’s response to Israel’s bombardment of Gaza, which has killed more than 8,000 people, more than a quarter of them children. The first national poll of Arab Americans since the war in Gaza began shows how deep that sense of betrayal goes, with only 17% of Arab American voters saying they will vote for Biden in 2024—a staggering drop from 59% in 2020.

“This is the most dramatic shift over the shortest period of time that I’ve ever seen,” James Zogby, the founder and president of the Arab American Institute, which released the poll on Tuesday, tells TIME.

Biden’s Gaza Stance Spurs Stunning Drop in Arab American Support

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