this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2024
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What does "our allies" mean in this context? Who did they actually survey, a representative group of Arab Americans or just members and supporters of their particular organization? Because it sure sounds like the latter.
Further down they say it is 36,139 Arab American and allied voters who are signed up to their community pulse https://support.adc.org/a/communitypulse
I would think "our allies" would mostly be Muslim Americans. The two groups are separate but have some overlap and both vote similarly on Middle East and North Africa issues.
"ADC was founded by former U.S. Senator James Abourezk in 1980. Today, ADC is the largest Arab American grassroots organization in the U.S." Per their own about page, I think their numbers should be taken seriously.
Taken seriously, yes, but I think it's problematic painting this as the opinion of Arab Americans in general. Taking a look at their press releases, it's immediately clear that they're vocally against Joe Biden. Granted, that's probably a majority opinion among Arab-Americans for understandable reasons, but most Arab Americans who do support him, or Trump for that matter, will not be signed up with them. So I think this survey has an inherent bias and very likely paints a distorted picture.
You are probably right about those who are for Trump simply because they won't share any of the concerns Arab Americans have, just like with any minority that votes for Trump, they tend to be out of touch with their group. But for Biden I think not, because until October 2023 Biden or at least the Democratic Party had mainstream support among Arab Americans and the ADC has been around for decades. But since then there has been a true backlash, Biden lost people who were passionate supporters, campaigners and donors.
‘The man broke my heart’: Biden’s Arab-American boosters begin to leave his side
Edit:
The Arab American Institute also have their polling methodology and Biden drops to 17%, higher than 7% but this is older data from November 2023 when people still had hope Biden would do the right thing:
Biden’s Gaza Stance Spurs Stunning Drop in Arab American Support