this post was submitted on 06 Aug 2023
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Similar to Mastodon's spikes last year, it seems. Anyways, there is data to think about. Source

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Reddit is going to keep trying dumb methods to monetize or annoy their user base. Digg did a similar thing. The people will slowly get more and more annoyed and the content here will increase. It’s just a waiting game and federated services are the future.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

@LambLeeg I swear we have this this at least a copule or few months of someone getting anxious there's a sight dip of active user on the Fediverse and eventually it goes up again.

I woudn't worry too much about the graph and just try to vibe here instead.. 🤷‍♂️

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

This is an expected statistical artifact given the "last month" aggregation and a huge influx of new users of which many don't stick around. I am saying they don't stick around, because that's generally just what happens with a lot of new users (e.g. they checked it out, decided it's not for them) and also due to the federated nature they might have switched accounts and similar things. Then the bit about "last month" aggregation: Have a look at the "Active 6 months" graph - it's still trending upwards. Those are likely a trailing average aggregations, so a maximum is reached when that 1-month-window starts (roughly) at the beginning of the huge user influx. For the 6-month window that hasn't happened yet, so still going upwards. Assuming nothing changes (similar amount of new/leaving active users) the graphs gonna be interesting in the next few weeks: After the initial wave of influx the balance was most likely negative (more users from "the wave" dropping out again than added users afterwards), however I'd hope it's gotten positive since then. If that's the case the graph should start trending upwards 1 month after the balance became positive. It's unclear when that was the case, but some towards end of July might be a reasonable guess? The same graph with a smaller window could shed some light on that (or just expose useless noise ¯_(ツ)_/¯ ).

Another sign I'd consider good: The active user ratio is trending upwards.

Disclaimer: I don't know how the data is aggregated, nor how exactly "active" is defined - the gist of the above very likely applies though. I was too lazy to look it up in the code - if someone knew how these graphs are aggregated and were so kind to let me know, that'd be appreciated :)

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I was an early Reddit adopter and can remember how lonely it felt back then. It took years but it got better in ways and worse in others. I believe in Lemmy because it isn't susceptible to the pressures of a company trying to be profitable. Sure it'll have its own challenges but I've personally had enough of idiot CEOs running social websites into the ground.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Once Boost for Lemmy releases, 10, 000% growth will occur over the coming weeks afterward 😉 (IYKYK)

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (5 children)

Because every post is just Lemmy users jerking themselves off raving about how much cooler they are than Reddit.

It's so fucking cringe I I can't scroll more than 5 minutes without giving up.

[–] Cethin 6 points 1 year ago

This comment is so ironic seeing as how I didn't see a comment like you are saying besides yours. Come on. We're all here together. Get over yourself.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

At least there's something to do here. Mastodon almost always feels like a ghost town to me. I only really keep it on my home screen because I like the icon.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Here! I'm another active user!

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

same here ;)

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

Can bot cleaning explain this?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (3 children)

The very gentle slope towards normalization is quite good, actually.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Number of active users slightly dips after exponential growth, surely the platform is dying, lets run around in circles and scream that the sky is falling.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

The novelty has worn off. Contributions are going to fall to the baseline for this platform. Question is, is the Lemmy space going to expand from that point?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Still waiting for the ability to block instances as a user.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Growth is not always consistent.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

This is normal. We've gotten a big enough surge where we have consistent content now. Lemmy was a bit rough when the migration started, but hopefully improvements will go a lot faster now. We're definitely missing a lot of core features and polish still. But Lemmy is a long term social network that is grass roots. All we need to worry about is creating a sustainable community now, and polish up the experience to newcomers so we can sustain the next exodus and be more of a viable platform.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Still a massive increase compared to a few months ago.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (4 children)

It's because Reddit is still alive and well and Lemmy just doesn't offer enough to be a serious alternative (yet)

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Sync's already had over 10k downloads, but the ability to post (apart from comments) hasn't yet been added. Once that happens I imagine there'll be a decent spike.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (3 children)

I would also note that some instances with the ml ending like fmhy.ml got wiped out of existence a few weeks ago because Malaysia forcefully took back that domain suffix back. I was on there and had to make a new account elsewhere after I saw it wasn't going to come back up.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The number of users are just stabilising. This is expected after a sudden spike in users.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

How much is Threads down in DAU?

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I couldn't figure out how to log on here with my other Fediverse creds. Rather than, like, Google or something? I just created new accounts for each instance. I'd say it's a boon for anonymity, but I used the same username, soooo

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