this post was submitted on 02 May 2024
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Improve The News

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Improve The News is a free news aggregator and news analysis site developed by a group of researchers at MIT and elsewhere to improve your access to trustworthy news. Many website algorithms push you (for ad revenue) into a filter bubble by reinforcing the narratives you impulse-click on. By understanding other people’s arguments, you understand why they do what they do – and have a better chance of persuading them. **What's establishment bias?** The establishment view is what all big parties and powers agree on, which varies between countries and over time. For example, the old establishment view that women shouldn’t be allowed to vote was successfully challenged. ITN makes it easy for you to compare the perspectives of the pro-establishment mainstream media with those of smaller establishment-critical news outlets that you won’t find in most other news aggregators. This Magazine/Community is not affiliated with Improve The News and is an unofficial repository of the information posted there.


**LR (left/right): 1 = left leaning, 3 = neutral, 5 = right leaning** **CP (critical/pro-establishment): 1 = critical, 3 = neutral, 5 = pro**

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  • A US official claimed during an online briefing on Thursday that the US had encouraged both Russia and China to openly declare that nuclear weapons should always be in the control of humans rather than artificial intelligence (AI). reuters.com
  • Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary (PDAS) Paul Dean stated that following public announcements by the US, UK, and France that any military nuclear decision would "only be made by a human being," Washington would "welcome a similar statement" by Russia and China. state.gov
  • The member of the Bureau of Arms Control, Deterrence, and Stability described Russian and Chinese declarations as announcements that would be "welcomed in a P5 context," (e.g. the permanent members of the UN Security Council) while commenting that the US also "profoundly regretted" Russia's retraction of the New START Treaty. state.gov
  • In 2023 Russia announced the suspension of its agreement with the US allowing the inspection and reduction of each nation's nuclear facilities and weapons respectively. The 2021 treaty was intended to remain in effect until 2026. Independent
  • Alongside the five permanent members of the United National Security Council (UNSC), the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons believes that Israel, Pakistan, India, and North Korea also possess nuclear weapons. Forbes (LR: 3 CP: 5)
  • The Campaign estimates there to be over 12.5K nuclear warheads globally — down from a peak of approximately 70K during the Cold War — with 5.9K being held by the US, followed by Russia's 5.2K, and China's 410. ICAN

Narrative A:

  • The inevitable dangers of AI are pushing us closer to another world war. Experts have repeatedly warned that AI could be the end of humanity, and the US' public acknowledgment of this potential nuclear-linked disaster is a bad sign. Umbrella AI regulation must be immediately sought if serious concerns are to be eased.
    THE SUN

Narrative B:

  • Implementing AI into the command chain of nuclear decision-making could change the world for the better if done correctly. Humans are just as capable of making mistakes as AI, and the help of automation within certain tasks could potentially increase global security. Nations must proceed with caution as we continue to become accustomed to living alongside AI, but there is reason to be optimistic if skillfully implemented.
    WAR ON THE ROCKS

Nerd narrative:

  • There is a 20% chance that the "Great Power" war will be a nuclear war, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
    METACULUS.COM

Nerd narrative:

  • There is a 36% chance that if there is a global catastrophe claiming at least 10% of the human population it will be due to AI, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
    METACULUS.COM
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