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A Ukrainian Sport Plane Drone Just Flew 800 Miles Into Russia To Blow Up An Oil Refinery (www.forbes.com)

submitted 5 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 19 points 5 months ago (2 children)

The raids have somewhat throttled Russian gasoline production, but probably not enough to have an immediate impact on the economy—and thus on the long-term war effort. “These are spot strikes,” energy expert Hennadii Rіabtsev

I read that they had lost almost 20% of their refining capacity already, which sounds very significant to me.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

There may be two factors there.

First, I think that the text is talking about those converted ultralight planes, not all long-range strikes. You had smaller drones; these were probably Ukrainian special forces operating behind enemy lines.

Second, I think I saw a similar quote, and IIRC, in the text I read, it wasn't "20% of capacity", but "strikes against refineries that comprise 20% of capacity". The strikes didn't necessarily shut a given refinery down fully.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago

Good point. It's a bit unlcear. This is from a month ago and I know it edged up since then:

"In terms of damage, the strikes have probably disrupted more than 10% of Russia's refinery capacity, maybe more than 15%. Depending on the extent of the damage, repairs could take considerable time," the official told reporters on condition of anonymity.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago

Even if it's true, there's a huge capacity of oil refinery in Belarus which Ukraine doesn't want to target for obvious reasons