this post was submitted on 10 May 2024
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I read that they had lost almost 20% of their refining capacity already, which sounds very significant to me.
There may be two factors there.
First, I think that the text is talking about those converted ultralight planes, not all long-range strikes. You had smaller drones; these were probably Ukrainian special forces operating behind enemy lines.
Second, I think I saw a similar quote, and IIRC, in the text I read, it wasn't "20% of capacity", but "strikes against refineries that comprise 20% of capacity". The strikes didn't necessarily shut a given refinery down fully.
Good point. It's a bit unlcear. This is from a month ago and I know it edged up since then:
Even if it's true, there's a huge capacity of oil refinery in Belarus which Ukraine doesn't want to target for obvious reasons