this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2024
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Futurology
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I was pretty confident on self driving cars all the way back when it was just google.
But I think the robot/ AI stuff is coming a lot faster than expected. I worked in factories a few year ago and a lot of it is 90% there.
The real key issue is the drop in prices. Robot arms especially I seen dropping. It used to be that one robot would replace the work of 4 or 8 people. (24/7 running) so the machine needed to be a little less than that. But now its so cheap if it replaces 80% of 1 persons work it only need to be really 50% the cost for business to bother to get one. Also that cost is so low it can easily be taken as a trial that might fail but we want to see, if it works we will get 50.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1120530/average-cost-of-industrial-robots/
AI is going to be the same, to replace someone it needs to do 100% of the work and be slightly less than a lot of people. To replace some of the work it needs to be priced less than maybe even 1 person, and we are there.