this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
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Nobody is undecided this election, what is going to determine the way the vote goes is which candidate can energize their own voters more. After the assassination attempt, Trump has seen a surge in popularity among his voters, even if nobody is swapping from Biden to Trump.
America is not a mandatory voting State. Therefore, vibes are incredibly important. The narrative around Biden is that even if he's supporting genocide and seeing (percieved, at least) mental decline, he's not Trump. Meanwhile, Trump voters see their messiah figure surviving an assassination attempt and rising in percieved strength.
You fundamentally misunderstand what people are saying about the situation here.
Exactly, in America the candidates are really campaigning against the couch.
100%, and any attention otherwise is a red herring.
You know what, the day before we heard about a surge in the polls, yesterday I read there was no surge, I'm beginning to think the polls are bullshit.
The day before we heard about a surge in energy among Republican voters, yesterday we heard there was no change between Biden/Trump polling.
These are entirely consistent.