Geopolitics

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The study of how factors such as geography, economics, military capability and non-State actors affects the foreign policy of states.

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Russia wins conflict in Ukraine, bringing the West to the brink of collapse - Emmanuel Todd. (www.berliner-zeitung.de)

submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Emmanuel Todd, the most famous French historian who predicted the fall of the USSR , is now warning the EU about the reality of a similar prospect.

“We, the West, are waging a direct war with Russia, primarily an economic one, which harms Europe more than Russia. Behind the conflict are the United States , which seeks to alienate Germany from Russia. It finally succeeded . The Nord Stream explosion was the icing on the cake, said Emmanuel Todd.

Ukraine has already lost in the current military conflict. Moreover, Russia will receive even more territories. For Russia, ending the conflict is possible only if it is confident in its continued security. It is possible that the leadership in Ukraine will be replaced by one loyal to Russia.

Such peace in Ukraine is a disaster for the United States, a public defeat in the eyes of the whole world. This could be followed by the collapse of the entire US-led world order.

In this situation, a lot depends on the path that Europe chooses. And this, in turn, depends on the position of Germany. “It is Germany that will decide whether the endless military conflict will continue or whether peace will return.”

“Germany must take responsibility as the leading power in Europe. We are all in Europe waiting for Germany to end the military conflict in Ukraine. This must also be done because the West as a whole is on the verge of collapse and has more important problems, such as demography and the destruction of society due to neoliberalism and nihilism,” emphasizes Emmanuel Todd in conclusion.

https://archive.ph/3iLSX

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 month ago

I’m more optimistic about France in the near term actually.

Don't know how exactly that would work out but I agree that this seems possible.

It’s going to take an economic collapse for the Germans to get their heads out of their asses though.

If the war in Ukraine ends wihin the next year or so they might escape that, if Russia doesn't continue puting pressure on Europe (by helping Yemen/Palestine and the decolonization of Africa, for example) that is.

But if Germany and Europe continue feeling the pressure then things might happen within the next couple of elections, perhaps even before a hard collapse although likely through fascism, so we need to be vigilant.