Geopolitics
The study of how factors such as geography, economics, military capability and non-State actors affects the foreign policy of states.
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Don't know how exactly that would work out but I agree that this seems possible.
If the war in Ukraine ends wihin the next year or so they might escape that, if Russia doesn't continue puting pressure on Europe (by helping Yemen/Palestine and the decolonization of Africa, for example) that is.
But if Germany and Europe continue feeling the pressure then things might happen within the next couple of elections, perhaps even before a hard collapse although likely through fascism, so we need to be vigilant.