this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2024
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[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago (2 children)

I don’t get that—they got eleven matches in their database, which presumably only covers a fraction of the whole population. So there are potentially tens or hundreds of people out there who could match, most of which they don’t even know. And the article doesn’t really say how they narrowed down the list to him in particular, especially since he’s not even from the same state.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Easy. You have 11. Eliminate the women because they would know it's male based on DNA. Now we're at 6. 4 were verifiably in different states at the time of the crime. 2 left. Stake them out for a bit and gather some garbage likely to have DNA. 1 sample is a perfect match.

Alternatively, those last 2 sample could both not match and then they just continue their investigation.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

But my point is, those original eleven weren’t an exhaustive list of the possibilities, just the ones that happened to be in their database—so narrowing it down to one means nothing.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

That's not how DNA works. It's not like a vague description of a person so they round up a bunch of perps for a line up. They would get an exact match on DNA before arresting someone.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago

It wasn't a direct match. It partially matched to 11 people so they did follow-up investigative work on the 11 matches looking for anyone in their families that stood out as a likely suspect due to things like work proximity, lifestyle, criminal record, familiarity with the victim and so on.