this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2024
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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Hurricane Milton Might Have Been a Category 2 Storm Without Climate Change (www.bloomberg.com)
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[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Kinda sorta; you'd still have some probability of a storm developing, so what they're doing is comparing simulated weather weather in worlds with and without the added greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and asking "how likely is this to happen" and seeing that there are differences between the two situations.

Specific methodology for different parts of the rapid-attribution study are linked from here