this post was submitted on 22 Nov 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Where did all the climate voters go? (grist.org)
submitted 5 days ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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Michigan and other battleground states might have swung for Trump, but they elected environmentalists to U.S. Senate seats, too.

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[โ€“] [email protected] 6 points 4 days ago (1 children)

I'm going to answer your question as if you are being serious and are genuinely curious.

  • House Gerrymandering. Over the last few years - the GOP has gotten rid of multiple D-leaning house seats in Florida, Wisconsin, Texas and North Carolina (they tried in Alabama too). Even with that, they are just barely going to win the house on what should have been a decent election year for them.
  • Senate - 2018 was a bad year for the GOP and a good year for the Dems. Due to that, them Dems picked up some seats that are less likely (Montana, Ohio, Ruby Red WV). This cycle, there are multiple states that picked an R president but a D senate member, albeit by smallish margins. This time around, the winds were more in the R favor, so Rs recouped those redder states, but didn't so much in the purple states. The exception is Pennsylvania, which often elects one Senator from each party.

Heads up - 2026 Purple NC is also one of those states that often elects a senator from each party, so expect lots of ads during the race there. The beatings will continue until the color improves.

Double heads up - 2030 will be 2 years after the president who is elected after Trump (if that remains a thing). I'd say there's a decent chance that the president will be a Dem unless someone can capture the same energy that DT rouses in certain demographics. That election cycle is usually one where the party in power gets trounced (though there are some exceptions), it also happens to be the year that the census occurs and redistricting takes place thereafter. The Rs won that fight last time. Following the trajectory I outlined, it's likely the R's will win it, again.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 4 days ago

I still think folks may ignore judicial retention and the waste commissioner but I think most who vote for president also will vote on senate and house seats. I don't think they do president and president only. Things were pretty gerrymandered in 2022, 2020, 2018, and so on.