this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2023
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Overall majority of all voters in Australia PLUS a majority of states have to have a majority YES vote. Not all states, just most of them. And NT & ACT and the islands aren't states for this purpose but do contribute to the overall score. So Vic, SA, WA, NSW, Tas, Qld - we can spare two states to the cookers as long as the overall majority is a Yes vote. We just have to do our bit.
It's the majority of states thing that makes me feel very pessimistic though. I think Yes would pass with a majority of voters across the whole country, but in essence the votes in big, sparser states like Qld and WA and to some degree SA have more weight and I think it is extremely unlikely that these three would have a majority Yes. Really don't know about NSW either. Vic would be the only one that I think is a safe Yes majority
Cool thanks for clarifying. I've got a bit more confidence in the vote now. Hopefully NSW pulls through.