this post was submitted on 28 Jun 2023
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I get the desire to strengthen the eastern edge of NATO countries like Poland and Lithuania... But I think Russia/Wagner have bigger priorities at the moment. I don't think they went to Belarus just to ignore Ukraine and launch a hopeless attack on the entirety of NATO.
No, they went to Belarus so that Lukashenka can feel more secure in his tyranny there and therefore spare more resources for supporting the attempt by Russia to conquer Ukraine
Yeah i doubt priggy gives a fuck about anyone but himself. It's more likely that they are positioning in Belarus to zerg kyiv. Putin's last try at taking the capital.
Thing is, given the ideological bent of the Wagner forces and the apparent lack of discipline in the Russian forces, there is a reasonable concern that there would be unofficial violence on the borders.