The Wagner mutiny of late June is likely one of the more dramatic events of the Russo-Ukrainian war in 2023, and one that caught many observers and the international audience off guard.

Despite being closely watched by people around the world - much about the mutiny remains unknown - from its true purpose to the details of how and why it seemed to suddenly end.

In this episode I look at what we know so far, ask what prospects the attempt had for success, what observations we can tentatively make, and what the impacts going forward might be.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Whereas Perun can tell you everything about the logistics, William can tell you everything about things like optimal force allocation on a defensive line, and best practice in strategy on how to breach them, that kind of theory is indispensable when it comes to making sense of things. Strategy and tactics, and the game theory of war (which is what he teaches as a professor)

Yes he's sometimes too confident in his predictions given the denseness of the fog of war for observers but that doesn't mean that the way he comes to those conclusions is bad -- it means that he's working with incomplete information.

Clickbait is just a given for youtube.

EDIT: Was thinking of Jake Broe, not Spaniel. Anyhow the general point still stands though just different speciality.