this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2024
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[Dormant] Electric Vehicles

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No, electric vehicle sales aren’t dropping. Here’s what’s really going on (www.cnn.com)
submitted 9 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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Tesla has been slashing prices. Ford just cut the price of its Mustang Mach-E, too, plus it cut back production of its electric pickup. And General Motors is thinking about bringing back plug-in hybrids, possibly taking a step back from GM’s earlier commitment to shifting straight to pure EVs.

And now the EPA is considering slowing down requirements for automakers to sell more electric vehicles, dialing back what had been aggressive plans to move away from gas powered cars and SUVs.

You’d be forgiven for thinking the American market for EVs is collapsing. But in the last quarter of 2023, EV sales were up 40% from the same quarter a year before, according to Cox Automotive. In fact, EV sales in the United States hit a record last year, topping 1 million for the first time.

Still there is a troubling gap between expectations and reality. Bloomberg New Energy Finance, for instance, had projected sales of 1.7 million plug-in vehicles in 2023, but only 1.46 million ultimately sold. (BNEF’s figures include plug-in hybrids, but the large majority are fully electric vehicles.) The trend line isn’t slanting upward as sharply as many had predicted so the industry is lowering future estimates.

Industry experts cite a number of reasons for this, including vehicle price, lack of charging capacity and confusing tax credit rules.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Wow, this chart is great. Thanks.

It seems the pattern here is that people buy more electric cars later on in the year. Q1 sales are always lower than Q3 and Q4 sales, but I don't want to draw a hasty conclusion. We need more data.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Given that @[email protected] said "If the sales for the last 2 years are as follows", I'm not sure whether this is actual data, or just an example.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Does not match 40% increase, Q4, YoY

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

I wonder if what we should be looking at is proportion of sales that are EVs instead of absolute numbers.