this post was submitted on 17 Mar 2024
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Good data, I wasn't gonna bother digging it up, but I'm glad you did. I think it's important to remember that all realities are more mixed than we like to infer from plots and our preferred view. That is, while the geographic opinions are strong, neither the East nor the West of Ukraine are a monolith in their opinions.
I think you're being a bit generous with the claim that central Ukrainians would have favored Russia as a destination, especially considering the data you brought. I also think you're being generous with just how pro-Russia the East actually is, again considering the data you presented. I would also like to point out that the current front lines overlapping with public opinion tendencies is mostly a coincidence. Russia was intending to fully conquer Ukraine and failed. The current front line is only minimally influenced by the loyalty majority of the locals.
Still, I want to thank you for bringing the data. Good numbers are always better than no numbers.