Unpopular Opinion
Welcome to the Unpopular Opinion community!
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Vote the opposite of the norm.
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The thing is, the reason it gets so high is because it has the potential to get so high. It's the powerballs selling point.
I'd suspect if someone made a lottery using your system, it would be less popular and wouldn't actually have the situation occur since less people would fund it.
The powerballs bananas numbers it can scale up to us exactly what makes it so popular and able to scale so high. Everyone collectively has agreed that poeerball is the primary lottery to pitch into with everyone else.
I think if you set up a theoretical test where you have a bunch of people together, and a bunch of lotteries they can gamble on each week, you'd quickly find after a few weeks everyone would be gambling at the same lottery, give or take.
That's like saying nobody would want to run a big company or become an entrepreneur unless the payoff was always outrageous. I sincerely doubt that. I've played the lottery when it was 20 million because even 10 million post-tax is a huge amount of money. It'd be perfectly fine if less people played and the people who chose to got a better shot at winning.
Apples and oranges.
Itd only be comparable if everyone had an equal chance of becoming the sole owner of a company via random lottery, simply by joining the company.
In which case, yes, most people would congregate to the largest companies to min max their odds.
You can't really compare anything else to a lottery because a lottery is truly a level playing field, it's pyre chance.
Any other comparison introduces tonnes of variables like status, gender, orientation, religion, wealth, etc etc.
It isn't a literal dice roll if your company you start succeeds or not, you can't just go pay a fee to start a company, kick your feet up and there's a pure 1 in x chance it makes it without you doing anything.
But that is how a lottery works. You buy the ticket, you wait, and you either win or lose by chance.
And most importantly your success scales by how many others participated.
So you end up with the majority of people congregating to a select few lotteries because they all want to win The Big One TM.