this post was submitted on 14 Apr 2024
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Iranian military chief says overnight attack ‘achieved all its goals’, adding that US bases are under threat if it backs Israeli retaliation.

Iran has warned Israel of a larger attack on its territory should it retaliate against Tehran’s overnight drone and missile attacks, adding that the United States should not back an Israeli military action.

“If the Zionist regime [Israel] or its supporters demonstrate reckless behaviour, they will receive a decisive and much stronger response,” Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi said in a statement on Sunday. ⠀

However, in a signal that Iran’s response was calculated in an attempt to avoid any major escalation, the Iranian foreign minister Amir Abdollahian said that Tehran had informed the US of the planned attack 72 hours in advance, and said that the strikes would be “limited” and for self-defence.

That did not stop more aggressive language from other officials, with the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hossein Salami, warning that Tehran would retaliate against any Israeli attacks on its interests, officials or citizens.

“From now on, whenever Israel attacks Iranian interests… we will attack from Iran.” ⠀

“The matter can be deemed concluded. However, should the Israeli regime make another mistake, Iran’s response will be considerably more severe,” said a statement.

It added that the US should “stay away” from the conflict, as it is an issue between Iran and Israel.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago (5 children)
[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago

It kinda feels like it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

…along with the receding line of defense against Russia in Europe.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Yeah, when it comes to WWIII I'm more worried about what NATO/EU is going to do if Ukraine starts collapsing than Israel vs. Iran. If Russia takes Ukraine and starts eyeing other Eastern European countries, or strongly anti-Putin EU countries decide they are willing to go to war to stop him then things could get messy FAST. That's why it's so important that the US doesn't stop funding for Ukraine (like a some politicians, especially Republicans, seem to want). Ukraine is legitimately the bulwark against Russian aggression that could bloom into something much worse.

Israel vs. Iran would be bad, but I don't think enough countries would join in on Iran's side to make this a world war. I'd expect more of a new Gulf/Iraq/Afghanistan War than WWIII.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

Agreed. The lifetime KGB agent turned president is actively destabilizing all non-NATO nations on his border, while pushing his way through Ukraine. If he’s successful in taking Ukraine, with the allegiance of Belarus, he’ll have Poland on two borders.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Poland will go absolutely fucking postal if Russia starts something. There’s some deep down, righteous grievance there.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago

As there should be. That didn’t stop Putin from suggesting Russia’s rightful ownership of Poland during the Tucker Carlson interview.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 7 months ago

All Iran needs to do is hit an American target for supporting Israel and that would be it. Then everybody's gonna get involved.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 7 months ago (3 children)

If WWIII is knocking on the door it started with Russia trying to invade Ukraine.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (1 children)

It tried? I'm fairly certain it did.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

It depends on what you define as the endgame.

If Kiev is the end game, then Russia haven't succeeded. If Kiev isn't the endgame, the Russian 64km long column on its way to Kiev just becomes more than the pathetic failure of Russian military strategy it was at the time.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Capturing Kiev requires invading Ukraine first. Russia has invaded Ukraine. It has demonstrated absolutely zero intent so far to march troops into Kiev.

[–] [email protected] -4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

A 64km long column moving towards Kiev is pretty much "marching troops into Kiev".

[–] [email protected] 9 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

Serious question, have you been able to find ANY Western reporting about any Russian feints during the first week of the invasion? I haven't been able to. Which is strange, because we have West Point saying that during some counter-offensives there were Russian feints, appearing to earnestly be asking the question of whether deception is still a major part of war. If you read the Wikipedia article about that 64km convoy, it's pretty much relying entirely on Western reporting, and the reports are pretty silly. Soldiers captured from that convoy only had 3 days of rations? Does that sound like a viable approach to capturing and holding a capital city? I don't think so. Just read that article and the sources critically - it doesn't look like a serious maneuver. It looks a lot like a feint.

So if Russia is known to use feints, but NONE of the initial maneuvers were reported as feints, then we are left with either A) Russia launched zero feints, or B) we haven't labeled which maneuvers were feints. That convoy looks A LOT like a feint to me. And how would a successful feint be reported by Western propaganda rags? As a victory for the West for having defeated such a great maneuver that also demonstrates the silliness of the opponent. That opponent, by the way, has destroyed Ukraine and there is no chance of Ukrainian victory at this point. So, do we trust the analysis that the convoy was an earnest maneuver, or do we see the evidence and think "perhaps this was a feint"?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

Yeah well considering how Russia and Iran are buddy buddy, that makes sense. But I would say Russia vs Ukraine is the oil, and Israel was the spark as soon as they deliberately hit the Iranian embassy in Syria.