Cunigulus

It doesn't even look big. What's the point of all that space if you're not showing it off?

Another option for Iran would be to try to crater the runways after the strike, maybe combine it with one of those slow drone wave attacks to get as much of the Israeli airforce in the air as possible. These missions are at the absolute limit of F-35's range, even if you don't force the planes to ditch you can force them to air fields that can't support them and get them out of action for a few days. There's a lot you can do to an air force if you can strike their air bases.

If I'm in the Iranian war room I'm pounding my fist on the table right now demanding a pre-emptive strike. They just hit the airbases they're going to have to launch an attack from, roll out some missiles and hit them again when the aircraft are fueling up and getting ready to go. Then follow it up with a wave of those drones once their air assets are indisposed. That's how you do deterrence and shut down the escalation ladder.

Honestly this debate probably slightly hurts Kamala, just by virtue of people having to watch her more. She didn't do a great job of rebutting Trump. Her response to him just lying his ass off the whole time just wasn't sharp enough, and there was so little substance in her responses - it's just not going to move the needle for anyone. My lib boyfriend just gave up watching it after 30 minutes or so and was laughing at Trump half the time. It just made me depressed and less interested in giving a fuck about this election.

Their derangement grows deeper as the cognitive dissonance builds. It's like a giant cult at this point. They'll snap at some point and go full nazi, just watch.

Nah, looks like they lit a tire fire inside the cooling tower or something. Maybe as some kind of distraction? It's hard to understand why they would do that. It shouldn't really damage the cooling tower, and the cooling tower isn't the part to be worried about. It's possible it was being used as storage and saboteurs or special forces lit it on fire.

It's one thing to agree to transit through the country, it's another to simply not forcefully oppose it. Would Iraqis die to defend Israel?

Iran can deploy over land, they just have to go through Iraq and Syria to do so.

You can also go through Iraq and Syria.

These things go slowly, slowly then all at once. There's been a lot more movement on the front these last few months, and the Ukrainian army is pretty depleted. At some point Russia is going to wind up for a big kick at an open door and we'll see things starting to look more like Afghanistan in 2021 or the final months of the Third Reich. A negotiated peace is the only thing that can prevent this kind of outcome, and Ukraine might be smart enough to go in for it before things really start to deteriorate. Even so it's hard to imagine the Russians crossing back over the Dnieper and even harder imagining them taking a defended Odessa. If they get Odessa it will be in a peace treaty, not by military force.

The crazy thing about the prison abuse stories coming out now, on the eve of the planned Hezbollah operation, is that it suggests a rift in Israeli and American politics and it looks like the American side is using this to heavily lean on the Israeli side to not escalate. I think the US election angle is significant here as well. Bidenworld has been trying to keep some kind of a lid on this thing so it doesn't blow up, while Netanyahu - maybe in coalition with Trump just wants to escalate to keep his grip on power. Now that Harris is taking the reigns, suddenly we get some more muscular moves - in the form of a nod to the propaganda media to touch this abuse scandal - necessarily coordinated with some sector of Israeli politics that's trying to avert a war with Hezbollah. If Netanyahu gets his war Israel goes into survival mode and the gloves are off - historical genocide, mass missile and drone attacks from the resistance axis, large scale resistance military formations moving to Lebanon and the Golan, political instability across the Middle East - Iraq will be a mess. It's a disaster that probably ends in Israeli conventional defeat and a high chance of nuclear weapons use.

Unless you only hear the lie intended for you. Trump is a master at this sort of thing. Maybe Harris is a better politician than we think.