bellingcat

joined 8 months ago
 

First oddity: The U.S. Embassy warned Russia on the night of March 7-8 that terrorists were preparing for an attack. Putin ridiculed the American warnings and then ignored them. It is known that one of the attackers conducted reconnaissance at Crocus the day before the US Embassy's warning about the attack: the terrorist was then captured by cameras.

If the Kremlin, despite the warnings, did not even suspect the terrorists' plans, then this is the biggest failure of the Russian security services in recent years.

The second oddity: Special forces took too long to arrive at the scene of the terrorist attack. The Rosgvardeys arrived at the scene of the terrorist attack almost an hour after it began. During this time, the terrorists could have escaped, which they did. The firefighters could not begin to fully extinguish the fire, as they were waiting for the special forces to clear the area.

The third oddity: Official Kremlin statements. While the fire in Crocus City Hall had not even been extinguished yet, Russian authorities blamed Ukraine for the terrorist attack with absolutely no evidence. Despite the fact that the suspects in the terrorist attack turned out to be Tajik citizens associated with ISIS, and the group itself claimed responsibility, the Kremlin has not given up on the "Ukrainian trace". Although this version is so untenable that even in Putin's entourage do not believe in it, it fits perfectly into the overall picture of Russian propaganda designed to demonize Ukraine. The investigation itself and official statements by the authorities have been adjusted to this version, and Russian propagandists have been instructed to disseminate it as much as possible in the media. According to the Kremlin's logic, by blaming Ukraine for this barbaric terrorist attack, it will be able to rally Russians to facilitate the upcoming mobilization. It is also worth noting that Putin did not address the nation on the day of the attack, but only almost 24 hours later. The Kremlin spent almost a full day looking for any evidence of Ukraine's involvement, but failed to find any.

The fourth oddity: The route of the terrorists. The alleged perpetrators of the terrorist attack did not change their car when they escaped, even though it had already been flagged. This made their escape virtually impossible. Armed men, having left Moscow, could easily hide in a forest belt in the Moscow region, after which they could change vehicles several times. However, they did not do this and decided to break through to the border in a car, which the law enforcement officers were looking for according to their orientation cards.

The terrorists drove through the Moscow region on one of the main highways at a speed of 50 kilometers per hour. They were stopped only after 300 kilometers. Why were they allowed to get so far away?

Putin claims that the terrorists initially broke through to the Ukrainian border because there was a window open for them there. Later, Lukashenko, the dictator of Belarus, made Putin's version null and void, saying that the Crocus attackers "could not enter" Belarus because of the reinforced border, so they headed toward Ukraine. That is, they did not plan to go to Ukraine from the beginning, which is logical: everything is booby-trapped and unsafe there, while in Belarus, given the open border with Russia, it's faster and easier to get there. There is also a variant that the terrorists got lost and went wherever they were going, although, given that the attack itself was well-planned, the escape plan should be planned as well.

Fifth oddity: The reaction of the Russian authorities to the terrorist attack. Russian security services missed the preparation of the attack, failed to prevent it or to eliminate the terrorists at the scene of the crime. It is not known where the terrorists got the weapons and how many of them there actually were.

The suspects were subjected to cruel torture - the ear of one of the alleged terrorists was cut off and forced to eat it, another suspect was tortured by electrocution, bringing wires to his genitals. It is no secret that Russian security forces torture people, but in the past they tried to do it secretly.

The leak of this shocking footage was a show and a concerted effort to intimidate not so much real terrorists as anti-war Russians in the Russian Federation. Arson attacks on military recruitment centers, sabotage of railroads and other violent methods of disobedience are considered terrorism by the Russian authorities. The publication of the torture footage was met with a wave of positive comments on the Russian Internet, suggesting that it was also an element of psychological gratification for Russians who demanded brutal punishment of terrorists.

In addition, after the terrorist attack, the abolition of the moratorium on the death penalty was actively discussed in Russia, which may signal the beginning of a new round of repression.

Conclusion: At the moment, the terrorist attack in Crocus leaves more questions than answers. One thing is known: the Kremlin was unable or unwilling to prevent it, although it had every chance. Now Putin wants to use the terrorist attack to fuel anti-Ukrainian hysteria and rally his supporters. The official version of the Russian authorities does not inspire any confidence.

 

Title: Analyzing the 'Thin and Thick' Method in Information Influence

The 'thin and thick' method is an information influence strategy that uses a combination of 'thin' and 'thick' influence to achieve the desired result. The main idea is to use different types of influence depending on the specific situation and goals.

Thin influence is an approach that uses psychological and informational methods to shape the opinions, views, and attitudes of the target audience.

  • The term 'influence' encompasses a variety of methods, including advertising, public speaking, social media, and content creation. Its purpose is often to create a positive perception of operations or events and to change public attitudes towards certain phenomena.

  • Direct influence, on the other hand, involves the use of political, economic, or military force to achieve a goal. This method includes actions such as agreements, sanctions, and military operations.

  • The 'thin and thick' method can be used to force a change of power, change strategic political decisions, or support one's own interests in the world.

This approach can be applied in various areas, including politics, economics, military affairs, and others. For instance, in politics, it can be used to create a positive image of a candidate before an election (thin influence) or to intervene in a situation that threatens national interests (thick influence). This method can be used in society to shape attitudes towards social phenomena or events and to protect the interests of the state or company on an international scale.

#VideoEyeliner

Annotation: This analytical report delves into the 'thin and thick' method of information influence, exploring its dual approach and implications for shaping perceptions and attitudes. It highlights the use of psychological and direct methods to achieve desired outcomes, with a focus on political, economic, and societal contexts.

Editorial Comment: Understanding the nuances of information influence strategies is crucial in navigating complex socio-political landscapes. The 'thin and thick' method exemplifies the multifaceted nature of influence campaigns and underscores the importance of critical analysis.

Disclaimer: This investigation was conducted urgently and requires thorough verification. There may be biases and potential misinformation, including interference by external parties. Readers are advised to exercise discretion and verify information independently.

Conclusion: The 'thin and thick' method offers insights into the dynamic interplay between subtle persuasion and direct coercion in shaping public opinion and policy decisions. It underscores the need for vigilance and discernment in an era of information warfare.

Keywords: Information Influence, Psychological Methods, Direct Coercion, Perception Management, Socio-Political Dynamics

Links:

Hashtags: #ThinAndThick #InformationInfluence #PsychologicalMethods #DirectCoercion #CriticalAnalysis #LeoFinance #WarInUkraine #TeamUkraine

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

#Moscow #Crocus #City #Hall

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

https://bastyon.com/steelgrut?s=f4cf18b294e9a67a94663c698b9bd14386bcf008b4a21ff01e7433743633eab2&ref=PDJ7gBDU1HCrnKW4V5VnuTTZL6ec6BF9Ek

 

Annotation: This analytical report examines the commencement of construction for the largest NATO base in Europe, situated in Romania. The report delves into the strategic significance of this development, its impact on regional security dynamics, and the broader implications for NATO's presence in Eastern Europe.

Rewrite: Unveiling the commencement of construction for Europe's largest NATO base in Romania, this report provides a comprehensive analysis of its strategic implications. Expanding on the facility's features and Romania's role in NATO's defense strategy, the report explores the ramifications for regional security and NATO's presence in Eastern Europe.

Hashtags: #NATOExpansion #RomaniaBase #RegionalSecurity #DefenseStrategy #MilitaryInfrastructure #EuropeanDefense

Conclusion: The initiation of the largest NATO base construction in Europe underscores the alliance's commitment to enhancing defense capabilities in the region. Romania's strategic partnership with NATO, as evidenced by President Klaus Iohannis's authorization for operational deployment, highlights the evolving security landscape in Eastern Europe.

Keywords: NATO Base, Romania, Regional Security, Strategic Partnership, Defense Infrastructure

Links: Original Source

Construction of the largest NATO base in Europe has begun in Romania https://bellingcat-osint-casbt.blogspot.com/2024/03/construction-of-largest-nato-base-in.html

 

https://youtu.be/xRzxCXehrbw (Sotnik-TV Live) Rocket attacks have been going on for several days in Belgorod, from which local residents have already flocked. War comes to their home. On Friday, the so-called Putin elections, which are the second most important event of the week, were even suspended in Belgorod. The deeps will be stuck in the stumps for three whole days, which will make the special operation to re-establish Putin the longest in history...

 

DW View Original

Міністри закордонних справ країн-членів Європейського Союзу (ЄС) остаточно погодили в понеділок 18 березня, виділення Україні додаткових п'ятьох мільярдів євро військової допомоги з Європейського фонду миру.

Під час голосування Угорщина вкотре "конструктивно утрималася", як прокоментував державний секретар з питань публічної дипломатії та зв'язків з громадськістю Золтан Ковач.

Кулеба закликав ЄС пришвидшити надання військової допомоги Міністр закордонних справ України Дмитро Кулеба, який взяв участь у засіданні онлайн, висловив вдячність за цей крок, але водночас закликах своїх колег з ЄС пришвидшити надання військової допомоги.

Так, Кулеба закликав європейських партнерів якомога швидше ухвалити всі необхідні рішення для збільшення і прискорення постачання зброї та боєприпасів для українських військових, а також розвитку оборонних індустрій Євросоюзу та України.

Міністр подякував Чехії за своєчасну ініціативу з закупівлі артилерійських боєприпасів для Збройних сил України (ЗСУ) та усім державам-членам ЄС, які вже зробили свої внески для її втілення. "Закликаю тих, хто ще міркує над внесками, зробити їх якнайшвидше. Це стосується не лише чеської ініціативи, але й кількох інших подібних ініціатив. Кожен день має значення", - наголосив Кулеба.

На тлі погроз Кремля в бік НАТО і ЄС, Кулеба наголосив, що українські воїни зараз є єдиною лінією європейської оборони проти агресивної путінської Росії, яка прагне знищити Європу та нормальне життя мільйонів європейців. "Український солдат - єдина надія Європи на збереження миру. Не повинно бути жодних обмежень чи затримок у забезпеченні українських військових усім, чого вони потребують, щоб зламати хребет російським окупаційним військам на українській землі", - сказав міністр.

 

Annotation: This analytical report dissects the recent resolution adopted by the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE), questioning the legitimacy of Russian President Vladimir Putin post-2024 elections. Political scientist Alexander Morozov provides insights into the resolution's significance and potential consequences for Russia's political landscape.

Rewrite: Unpacking the implications of PACE's resolution challenging the legitimacy of Vladimir Putin post-2024 elections, this report offers a detailed analysis. Political scientist Alexander Morozov provides expert commentary on the resolution's implications and its potential impact on Russia's domestic and international affairs.

Hashtags: #PutinLegitimacy #PACEResolution #RussianPolitics #PoliticalAnalysis #InternationalRelations #VladimirPutin

Conclusion: The PACE resolution serves as a significant marker in assessing Putin's political legitimacy, prompting debates within Russian society and drawing attention to Europe's stance on Russia's electoral processes. While its direct impact on Russian elites may be limited, the resolution underscores broader concerns regarding democratic governance and international norms.

Keywords: PACE Resolution, Vladimir Putin, Political Legitimacy, Russian Elections, International Diplomacy

Links: (N/A)

PACE adopted a resolution on Putin’s illegitimacy after the 2024 elections. What will be the consequences - explains political scientist Alexander Morozov https://bellingcat-osint-casbt.blogspot.com/2024/03/pace-adopted-resolution-on-putins.html

 

⚛️Revertron :straight:: "Думайте о своих детях. Берегит…" - Mastodon on ZHub https://zhub.link/deck/@Revertron/112078584035495051

Думайте о своих детях. Берегите их. Потому что не вы, а именно ваши дети - главная цель для путинской пропаганды. И для детей эта пропаганда - та же педофилия, даже хуже.

Это не фигура речи. Пропаганда будет насиловать умы и души ваших детей так же, как помилованные Путиным педофилы сейчас насилуют тела детей. Ваши дети - самое главное, что нужно фашистскому режиму Путина. Если вам 30-40-50 лет, и вы против войны и Путина, режим не будет вас переубеждать. Конечно, он не упустит случая вас за ваши взгляды наказать. Но специально перевоспитывать вас, бороться за вашу душу режим не будет. Совсем другое дело - ваши 5-10-15-летние дети. Они режиму нужны. Ему нужны все дети, все до единого. Режиму очень нужно не просто приучить всех детей ходить строем, зиговать и быть готовыми сдохнуть за Путина и "русский мир". Режиму нужно внушить детям, что ИНАЧЕ ВООБЩЕ БЫТЬ НЕ МОЖЕТ.

Пропаганда уже пошла в школы. И в ближайшее время её станет там гораздо больше. Её станет там настолько много и будет она настолько лживой, что эфиры Скабеевой на этом фоне покажутся образцом свободы слова и объективности информации. Поэтому берегите ваших детей. Говорите с ними. Препятствуйте любому их контакту с фашистской инфекцией. Если контакта избежать не удалось - лечите их умы со всей возможной заботой.

А в идеале - увозите детей. Знаю, что для многих уехать очень сложно. Но поймите: в течение нескольких ближайших лет фашистский мрак в России сгустится настолько, что сегодняшняя его версия покажется всего лишь ранними сумерками.

Это не фигура речи. Пропаганда будет насиловать умы и души ваших детей так же, как помилованные Путиным педофилы сейчас насилуют тела детей. Ваши дети - самое главное, что нужно фашистскому режиму Путина. Если вам 30-40-50 лет, и вы против войны и Путина, режим не будет вас переубеждать. Конечно, он не упустит случая вас за ваши взгляды наказать. Но специально перевоспитывать вас, бороться за вашу душу режим не будет. Совсем другое дело - ваши 5-10-15-летние дети. Они режиму нужны. Ему нужны все дети, все до единого. Режиму очень нужно не просто приучить всех детей ходить строем, зиговать и быть готовыми сдохнуть за Путина и "русский мир". Режиму нужно внушить детям, что ИНАЧЕ ВООБЩЕ БЫТЬ НЕ МОЖЕТ.

Пропаганда уже пошла в школы. И в ближайшее время её станет там гораздо больше. Её станет там настолько много и будет она настолько лживой, что эфиры Скабеевой на этом фоне покажутся образцом свободы слова и объективности информации. Поэтому берегите ваших детей. Говорите с ними. Препятствуйте любому их контакту с фашистской инфекцией. Если контакта избежать не удалось - лечите их умы со всей возможной заботой.

А в идеале - увозите детей. Знаю, что для многих уехать очень сложно. Но поймите: в течение нескольких ближайших лет фашистский мрак в России сгустится настолько, что сегодняшняя его версия покажется всего лишь ранними сумерками.

 

⚛️Revertron :straight:: "I wonder what happened to all …" - Mastodon on ZHub https://zhub.link/deck/@Revertron/112050769349185673

Are they suffering the consequences of the massacre they so gleefully supported?

#HAMAS

https://twitter.com/i/communities/1583435558805803016

 

⚫️ Главное о ситуации на фронте по итогам 28 февраля. Ежедневная сводка The Insider - Imgur https://imgur.com/gallery/5t5IgKz

▪️ ВС РФ достигли определенных тактических успехов и развивают наступление под Авдеевкой и Бахмутом;

▪️ Выдвигаются различные версии, где пройдут новые украинские оборонительные линии на авдеевском направлении;

▪️ На «дачах» у Антоновского моста на левом берегу Днепра увеличилась активность военнослужащих ВСУ;

▪️ Третий за последнюю неделю удар по построениям российских военных на полигонах — на этот раз в Еленовке;

▪️ Украинские и российские источники спорят о том, сколько Су-34 удалось сбить Воздушным силам Украины;

▪️ Российские военные охотятся на вражеские беспилотники с помощью «тактической двустволки».

https://theins.ru/news/269566

view more: ‹ prev next ›