this is rlly funny, i hope it's all accurate
shitholeislander
joined 5 months ago
You could get a job at the state dep lol.
How do you know for sure that I don't already have one?
i realise the intention but this looks like a covid denialism meme honestly
they're totally hiding a shitload of losses but also keep in mind that they have a small and shrinking population, are having trouble getting a lot of them to sign up because of some religious bullshit excuse, are trying to start a two/several front war, and also keep having to move forces around between the continually resurging resistance in Gaza, the ascendant resistance in the West Bank, and to deal with homegrown rape mobs too.
cool situation! very feasible to sustain this for a while longer.
this is cope sorry.
Lightning war/shock and awe/whatever you wanna call it is a western concept for sure but that doesn't mean Russia wouldn't have preferred to finish this quickly. The first month of the war was very obviously an attempt to quickly take out the Ukrainian govt and replace it - which failed because they heavily under-estimated the amount of resilience the Ukrainian state and military has built since 2014. Russia is now fighting a war of attrition and way better positioned for it than Ukraine but it wasn't their intention and it took months for them to swallow the fact that it was gonna be necessary (hence the mobilisation only coming months after).
like sorry but this is just revisionism of what happened in 2022
Belarus is clearly never gonna do shit bc Lukashenko is playing both sides and coming out on top like he has been for decades. Why not take the 100k they have along that border and say hail mary? Prigozhin nearly did it.
Yes, but if the Russian military knew what it was doing then it would have put this to bed within hours like the previous two Ukrainian incursions. I think they got complacent given how the Donbass front is going and paid the price.
I think honestly that it might be a play to push Russia on negotiations - not that the Ukrainians are in the driver's seat regarding those, at all, but they're putting out feelers for peace and this is a move designed to prove that Russia hasn't gotten its war goals achieved at all (protecting ethnic Russians, in Ukraine and outside it). This makes it easier for the Russians to call for a negotiated settlement because it makes it more obvious that they're not really close to achieving their war aims and might not be for a long time yet - so why not try and work it out over a table?
Ukraine is having manpower issues but they still have a lot of bodies to feed into the meatgrinder. If they carry on doing as they are doing, taking heavy losses and losing ground nonetheless, they're clearly just going to lose. This is a smarter move than just continuing to cede territory and lose men on the front. That being said, it won't change the overall strategic outlook for sure.
That's your view but imagine you're a Russian living near that border and the govt is still failing to protect you or give the impression of protection when they launched this war 2 years ago on the basis of shielding ethnic Russians in Ukraine from Ukrainian nationalist extremism. How would that make you feel about the whole premise of the war, how long is it gonna take, how much confidence would it inspire that your sons are dying and being maimed for a good enough reason?
perhaps there are under-the-table communications going on which nobody but the higher levels of the governments involved are aware of. maybe efforts to actually reach some kind of mediation. the kind of war that we are on the precipice of would really be rough going for both the zionists and the Iranian government; an under-estimated factor in all of this, imho, is the severe internal strife within Iran and the fact that the Islamic Republic could easily be toppled in the midst of all-out war (even a righteous one)
Lebanon too is not in a great place at all either and no faction within that country actually wants the war to come with full force to their doorstep. Syria's govt is still widely unpopular and faces regular unrest not to mention the civil war hasn't ended. Egypt and Jordan don't want to deal with that shit either because of their own restive populations. etc. Yemen is probably the only actual state actor that has so little to lose that a war is feasible (hence they've been openly at war with israel for months already)