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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/antihostile on 2024-07-07 15:14:09+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/LastWeekInCollapse on 2024-07-07 13:03:47+00:00.


2024 is more than half over, but it feels like our civilization is already finished. Heat alerts, hurricanes, financial instability, and crushing famine.

Last Week in Collapse: June 30-July 6, 2024

This is Last Week in Collapse, a weekly newsletter compiling some of the most important, timely, useful, soul-shattering, ironic, stunning, exhausting, or otherwise must-see/can’t-look-away moments in Collapse.

This is the 132nd newsletter. You can find the June 23-29 edition here if you missed it last week. You can also receive these posts (with images) every Sunday in your email inbox with the Substack version.

——————————

Hurricane Beryl—the earliest Category 5 Atlantic hurricane in history—moved through the Caribbean last week. In St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Union Island (pop: 3,000) faced near-total infrastructure destruction when 240km/h (150mph) winds tore through on Monday. 400,000+ people lost power in Jamaica. Now Beryl has turned towards Texas. Experts agree that 2024 will be a rough season for hurricanes.

A study in NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science studied trends in hurricanes in Southeast Asia. It concluded four takeaways for the future: “(1) poleward shifts in both genesis and peak intensification rates; (2) TC (tropical cyclone) formation and fastest intensification closer to many coastlines; (3) increased likelihoods of TCs moving most slowly over mainland Southeast Asia; and (4) TC tracks persisting longer over land.”

A recent study published in Nature Communications claims that the glacier melt speed in Alaska from 2015-2019 was 6x faster than the rate 40 years earlier. The study concluded that there were three periods of ice melt speed: the first from 1770-1979, the second from 1980-2010, and the fastest paradigm extending to at least 2020, when the study’s data end. Every single glacier examined has shrunk since 1770, and 108 have melted completely. The researchers claim that this study debunks earlier claims of linear ice melt until 2040, predicting “current glacier projections may be too small and underestimate glacier melt in the future….potentially pushing glaciers beyond a dynamic tipping point.

The Amazon rainforest in Brazil is experiencing its worst wildfire season in 21 years, with over 13,400 wildfires having been detected since January. In the Pantanal wetlands and the Cerrado savannah, wildfire records have surpassed old records. Around the suburbs of Athens, scores of new wildfires popped up, burning a number of buildings and killing at least one man; Greek islands are feeling the heat from their own fires, too. If it’s any consolation, firefighters have begun to contain California’s largest currently burning forest fire—although most of the blaze is still uncontrolled.

A depressing study in PNAS looked at Indonesia, where industrialists have cut down 25% of the nation’s old growth forests in the last 35 years. Yet 44% of the cleared land was left idle for 5+ years. 28% was converted into palm oil plantations, and much of the currently cleared land is expected to be converted into palm oil farms. A 55-page report on Australia’s 20 potential carbon offset/restoration sites found that 30% were already degraded from when they were first examined. Flooding in Assam, India, has displaced 2M+ people and killed at least six.

A sonar research experiment examined northern California’s Lake Oroville, and determined that the lake/reservoir now has 3% less volume than it did around 1970. Researchers blame the drop in capacity on rock & silt accumulation. Meanwhile, China’s agricultural production suffered flooding in the central region, and crippling heat in the south. In northwest Syria, a quadruple threat of conflict, pestilence, wheat rust disease, and heavy rain reduced wheat harvests by about 70%.

The combination of “marine heatwaves, ocean acidity extremes and low oxygen extremes” are called by some scientists “(water) column-compound extreme events” (CCX). Related particularly to El Niño, and occurring primarily in the tropics and northern pacific, “CCX expanded 39-fold, now last 3-times longer, and became 6-times more intense since the early 1960s,” when compared to 2020. So says a study published last month in AGU Advances. These compound risks can last weeks and lead to organism dieoff & migration.

Record June temperature (41 °C or 106 °F) in Taiwan. Amman, Jordan shattered its 100+ year June heat record. Death Valley, in California, is predicted by some meteorologists to feel earth’s hottest temperature on Monday: 130°F (54.4°C). A number of North African countries set new June records, and part of the continent hit four consecutive days above 50 °C (122 °F) for the first time ever. Siberia blasted old June records, and even set some all-time highs in certain regions, and wildfires in Siberia have caused a local state of emergency. Karachi’s heat wave endured for several more days. Tasmania felt its coldest July temperatures, while the Middle East also saw a heat wave and Raleigh, North Carolina felt its hottest temperatures ever (106 °F, or 41.1 °C).

New Zealand is trending towards extreme Drought and extreme rain alternating at different parts of the year, says a study in Environmental Research Letters. A study on British travel determined that “long-distance travel” (trips going 50+ miles one-way, or 80+ km) account for “69.3% of the greenhouse gas (CO2 equivalent) emissions from passenger travel.”

——————————

A study in Nature Communications examined the impact of future climate effects on investment (using Mexico as a case study), and concluded that “investor losses are underestimated up to 70% when neglecting asset-level information, and up to 82% when neglecting tail acute risks.” One of the authors said, “potential losses from extreme {weather} events can be up to 98% higher than these averages suggest.”

China’s factory production declined in June for a second month in a row. The head of the Bank for International Settlements is warning of negative impacts to the global economy as a result of rising government debts. Others paint a more panicked picture of the consequences. One economist writes that “public debt is completely out of control” and will cause an “**all-encompassing fisca...


Content cut off. Read original on https://old.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/1dxg1ch/last_week_in_collapse_june_30july_6_2024/

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/BaseballSeveral1107 on 2024-07-07 11:26:52+00:00.


If you were alive in the 2000s, you've probably seen movies like The End of Suburbia, videos like There's no Tomorrom, books like the Limits to Growth from the 70s, and articles and stuff made by and for doomers and preppers. Or at least that's what most of us thought.

They weren't doomer when they said that we're slaves of the system.

They weren't doomer when they mentioned Peak Oil, energy shortages, resource shortages and so on.

They weren't kidding when they said that dangers like solar storms, EMP attacks, blackouts, cyberattacks on critical infrastructure and infrastructure collapse are coming.

They weren't kidding when they said that those that will survive in the new world will be those that will prepare and adapt.

They weren't doomer when they said that everything in our daily lives, from our cars, planes, ships and trains, our heating and cooling, electricity, water supply, food supply, modern suburbia, modern cities, our supply chains, the internet, TV, mass available music, movies, games and books, healthcare, education, communication, our political systems and the global and national economy and global society all are interdependent on cheap and abundant fossil fuel energy and resources.

They weren't kidding when they said dangers like pandemics, wars, extremism, nuclear war, climate change, ecosystem damage, resource and energy depletion, topsoil loss, and pollution all will or can cause civilization collapse.

They all weren't wrong, they were just early. In the 2000s, energy and resources were still cheap. Now, we're in a hangover after the post WWII euphoria of consumption, indefinite economic growth, runaway-consumption-lifestyles, etc. Now we're finally waking up and realizing that we can't run like this any longer, due to climate change, resource depletion, ecological destruction, rising cost of living, democracy decline and inequalities.

The only thing they were wrong about was that renewables and electric vehicles are niche. We're seeing them booming, so the transition might be less painful. But still, our enormous consumption, indefinite economic growth, runaway-consumption-lifestyles, etc. are unsustainable.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Striking-Shirt-2790 on 2024-07-07 01:04:30+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Cthulhu-2020 on 2024-07-07 07:57:54+00:00.


SS: This article reads like a international political economy version of Last Week in Collapse, except it's from the New York Times. It's notable in being a somber account of the scope and severity of economic challenges facing countries across the world from a mainstream media outlet thay does not offer any hopium.

This is collapse related because it describes economies around the world grappling with limits to growth and the attendant political turmoil. It can be seen as foreshadowing what will happen when resources become even more constrained.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Fruesli on 2024-07-06 23:45:02+00:00.


Submission Statement: Apologies for reposting, my previous attempt was denied and I didn’t get to read the explanation before it all disappeared, so if I’m repeating the problem, please excuse me. Didn't quite know what flair to use for this either. What a noob!

That said, I've spent a bit of time trying to find a way of visually representing some of the many and various factors that contribute to Collapse and I wanted to share it here. I think as a tool, it could be a good way to get people to start thinking about the interconnectedness of topics that they previously hadn’t considered, or be introduced to new terms which they can then look into if they choose. It’s also a means of processing and ordering my thoughts.

I brainstormed and narrowed (or depending on your perspective, expanded) my topics until I had a little over 50 headings, which I then grouped into roughly topical areas, although some factors were hard to pin to a central topic. Beginning with the first image which has the factors which jumped out at me as the "core underlying problems", I built expanding rings of content as you pull outward from the centre. The rings are: “core issues”, “environment”, “water/atmosphere”, “industry”, and “people”. It's not an exhaustive list, and I know for a fact I've left a few things out, but that's fine, it still does the job of collating information together. Some of the headings are in larger circles, but this has nothing to do with importance, I just had to fit the text in.

In the last image I wanted to have some fun, and just to see how crazy it would look, drew any obvious connecting links between a bunch of the factors. It looks a bit like spaghetti junction, but I think it does help convey the complexity of collapse. As hard as it is to capture the concept of collapse in conversation, it’s equally hard in graphical form. You need some proper scale and perspective. This is not a polished product and it probably won't ever be "finished", but it's been a good exercise in trying to pin as many factors as I can, and then thinking about the basic connections between them, here and there. Obviously a bit of a pickle to try and capture it in its entirety, and very tricky to make something that’s both legible and accessible. 

Why is this Collapse related? I tried to make a visual resource that could capture even a degree of the complexity of inter-related topics that feed in to collapse. If nothing else it’s a collation of collapse related issues. Hopefully for those already collapse aware, it might be a helpful resource when talking with others, or perhaps you might find a new avenue of interest to explore and learn about.

Fingers crossed it displays properly! (spare link here: )

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submitted 18 hours ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/littlepup26 on 2024-07-07 00:19:16+00:00.

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submitted 18 hours ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/xrm67 on 2024-07-06 23:25:35+00:00.

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submitted 18 hours ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/DairyFarmerOnCrack on 2024-07-06 22:14:03+00:00.

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submitted 20 hours ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/TinyDogsRule on 2024-07-06 21:03:54+00:00.


SS: Not a big fan of posting long videos, but this is an amazing documentary from the point of view of an environmental scientist. For so many of us, future is beginning to punch us in the gut. Many of us have been hitting emotional lows this week as we think of our likely political future.

Watching various people from all over the world both experience collapse and learn from it while implementing proactive measures against the difficult days ahead was very therapeutic. I hope some of you find a bit of peace watching this.

Collapse related because it is literally a documentary on collapse.

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submitted 22 hours ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
This is an automated archive made by the Lemmit Bot.

The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/mycatpeesinmyshower on 2024-07-06 18:52:37+00:00.


We’ve destroyed our planet and can’t seem to manufacture anything that doesn’t poison ourselves

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submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
This is an automated archive made by the Lemmit Bot.

The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/World-Ending-Tart on 2024-07-06 11:14:00+00:00.


(This is related to collapse as the decline of fact based belief systems is going to play a massive role in climate change denial, in the rise of fascism and in the spread of diseases like Covid or what else might pop up next. This decline of trust in science and rise of overall hatred and distrust of everything will not cause the collapse but it will leave many people absolutely helpless when it happens. This is also my opinion.)

Does anyone else feel like social media has radically changed since Covid ? Personnally I only really use instagram and reddit (and instagram way more than reddit as I think I've developped an addiction to it). I've noticed that the platform has become unbelievably hateful, unbelievable is an important word in this case. Any post or reel which implicitly promotes some kind of hate or mockery is going to be boosted extremely well by the algorythm, thousands and thousands of comments all dogpiling on the subject (for example hating on LGBTQ+). Meanwhile posts with even very little progressive content will also be dogpiled but with horrible negativity. To give an example I saw a reel about a girl toddler getting a short haircut instead of long hair and the entire comment section was just filled with anti-LGBT discourse and people advising repressive and punitive parenting practices, all with thousands and thousands of likes.

Another thing I've noticed is a huge rise what I call career social media charlatans. These people earn a comfortable living by fearmongering about different foods, pushing pseudo science based diets, fearmongering about benign additives (particularly in cosmetics). Any post telling you to eat more vegetables and cut down red meat will be dogpiled by carnivore diet pushers. And these people get massive numbers of likes which makes me question how many people actually follow that insane "diet".

My question is : are we seeing some kind of deliberate effort to make the population grow more hateful and bitter and ignorant through social media (bots mass liking hate comments for example) ?

Another hypothesis is that people are just that hateful and ignorant in general and social media just liberates that speech but I really can't accept that because practically everyone I've ever met in my life is far from being like that. Maybe I'm just biased because I'm not a very social person to begin with and I try to surround myself intentionnally with people I consider goodhearted and kind.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Nmax7 on 2024-07-05 17:03:08+00:00.


American Psychosis | CHRIS HEDGES DOCUMENTARY (youtube.com)

Adam Curtis - Hypernormalisation (Soviet Union) (youtube.com)

"They had discovered that it was impossible to plan and predict everything and the plan had run-out of control, but rather than reveal this, the technocrats began to pretend that everything was still going according to plan.

And what emerged instead was a fake version of the society. The Soviet Union became a society where everyone knew that what their leaders said was not real, because they could see with their own eyes that the economy was falling apart, but everybody had to play along and pretend that it was real, because no one could imagine any alternative.

One Soviet writer called it "Hyper-Normalization".... You were so much a part of the system that it was impossible to see beyond it.... The fakeness was hyper-normal."

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/flakfire15 on 2024-07-06 14:09:49+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Poonce on 2024-07-06 04:59:17+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/jollyroger69420 on 2024-07-06 04:52:26+00:00.


Thought I'd sneak this one in since I still have a few minutes for Casual Friday. If you liked this, have another

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A new way to do it - (www.nature.com)
submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
This is an automated archive made by the Lemmit Bot.

The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/TwoRight9509 on 2024-07-05 21:47:52+00:00.


Submission Statement:

This is collapse related because up-to and post collapse communities / people will need productive and reduced input agricultural systems to provide food for individuals and communities.

This study confirms the efficacy of these agricultural systems. They can save your life.

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submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
This is an automated archive made by the Lemmit Bot.

The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/ConsiderationOk8226 on 2024-07-06 01:16:53+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/BaseballSeveral1107 on 2024-07-05 16:57:46+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/WanderInTheTrees on 2024-07-05 20:25:14+00:00.

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submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/wordsbyink on 2024-07-05 19:35:18+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/WanderInTheTrees on 2024-07-05 18:46:34+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Monsur_Ausuhnom on 2024-07-05 17:42:38+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/khoawala on 2024-07-05 17:31:47+00:00.

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The original was posted on /r/collapse by /u/Ghostwoods on 2024-07-05 17:25:51+00:00.

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Collapse of Civilization

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