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Odds of a future where the Rada changes tune and joins Russia to get behind the protective wall of US sanctions so they don't have to pay off their creditors?
I think what's most likely is that the current regime will fall, and Russia will replace it with one that works in their interests. Kind of a repeat of Chechnya basically. I do think there's a real possibility that Russia leaves western Ukraine to become west's problem though. They could let all the nationalists flee there, and it would be economically unstable rump state that's going to require billions in constant funding to prop it up. If the west lets it fail then Europe will be looking at a huge refugee crisis. So, the west would be stuck between a rock and a hard place there.
Would also be a perfect camping ground for terrorist training and organising weapons transfer for later attacks on Russian civilians.
That's unfortunately a possibility, although I expect nationalists will feel rather betrayed by the west when this is all over.