this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2023
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Lemmy went from a few thousand users with very little activity to 100k+ with constant activity. It was a massive success.
We don't know yet. If it's sticky then I would wholeheartedly agree. But if activity drops to pre protest levels in a month then eh...
Yeah, we don't know yet. On the one hand, it's still the early days of (some) people leaving Reddit - and who knows if they won't go back.
On the other hand, the API payment structure and the shutdown of 3PAs hasn't even happened yet. Even people who are completely oblivious to the situation but who are using a 3PA will have to decide if they'll be able to deal with the shitty official app, if they'll just stop browsing Reddit on mobile, or if they're willing to take a look at alternatives.
I guess we will see.
For a website with over 800 million monthly users, 100k is nothing, barely even a rounding error. You can say it was a success for lemmy, but as far as the actual goal of the protest it achieved basically nothing.
As Lemmy grows reddit will shrink. Reddit might always be around, but that's the same crowd that uses Facebook. Stragglers be damned, many users found a new home and that's a big win in my books. The rest were shown how shitty and incompetent the management is at Reddit, and it'll only get worse until they lose more and more users.
And when Lemmy becomes compatible with the wider activitypub network, we'll gain another 9M users. (Its also closer to 200k now I believe.)
Over 800 million monthly users, really? :D
Different sources have different numbers. One says 800 million, one says 400 million, the point is that lemmy poaching a couple hundred thousand users is nothing to reddit. If lemmy has 200k users that left reddit, even if we assume the smaller value of 400 million reddit users then that's only 0.05% of reddit users that left.
What percentage of Reddit users are actually contributing versus just showing up to consume? I'd suspect it's a very small percentage of that total. If that smaller group migrates away in more significant number, then that's the real impact. The consumers will show up wherever the content goes.
I'm willing to bet even if that were true a good portion of those are fake or a person with multiple accounts.