this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2024
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 3 months ago (6 children)

Exactly! Half of my ancestors lived near Odessa and I have been following events in Russia/Ukraine for over 20 years. I want to point out some key indicators that Kiev is obviously losing the war that anti-Russia propagandists will never admit to:

  1. The most significant is that Ukrainian military losses are vastly higher than what Kiev is admitting to, anywhere from five to ten+ times that of Russian losses. This is due to Russia’s vast superiority in artillery and aviation. This superiority comes from Russia’s much better organized military industrial complex (which can actually outproduce the entire West) and its almost unlimited natural resources.

  2. The Russian military is not launching any large scale offensives and, in fact, is very happy to continue its primarily defensive ‘war of attrition’ strategy (where it utilizes its vast firepower superiority to grind down the Ukrainian military until there will be practically nothing left).

  3. Despite not launching any major offensives, Russia’s primarily defensive campaign (with small, limited offensive operations) has still successfully broken through Kiev’s lines on many different parts of the front over the past eight months. In fact, during this time Russian forces have actually liberated around 65 settlements, including two notable cities in the Donetsk People’s Republic (Marinka and Avdeyevka).

  4. During the entire time of Russia’s military operations since late February of 2022, only 300,000 people in the Russian Federation were ‘drafted’ or mobilized, all of which were actually military reservists. By comparison, during that same time, something like 500,000 to 600,000 people also volunteered to join the Russian military (i.e. far more volunteered than were drafted). Meanwhile, Kiev brutally conscripts any man (even the disabled) that it can kidnap and drag off the streets into dirty old vans. Ukrainian men have been frantically fleeing the country for their lives for over two years now and continue to do so.

  5. Russian forces continue obliterating all of Kiev’s military equipment, including “top” Western military equipment (like Leopard 2 tanks, M1A1 Abrams tanks, M109 self-propelled howitzers, M777 howitzers, “HIMARS” launchers, and even Patriot launchers).

  6. Last, but not least, is that Russia’s population is far larger than that of the territory controlled by Kiev. Simply put, it’s only a matter of time until Kiev runs out of men and the whole thing will be over at that point.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 3 months ago (4 children)

This superiority comes from Russia’s much better organized military industrial complex (which can actually outproduce the entire West) and its almost unlimited natural resources.

Is it an MIC in Russia? Or do they retain state ownership of any of it? I am not familiar with who owns their weapons production and so on.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 3 months ago

That's a good question. The Russian Federation's military industrial complex is primarily state-owned and state-directed. Note, by "military industrial complex" I am referring to Russia's military related manufacturing companies collectively. As a socialist, I certainly believe that the primary role of state-ownership of these companies makes their production significantly more efficient than, say, the United States' bloated and corrupt, totally private military industrial complex that endlessly fleeces US taxpayers.

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