this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2024
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UK Politics

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General Discussion for politics in the UK.
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The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition.

Probabilistic seat count: LAB 484 CON 64 LD 61 SNP 10 RFM 7 PC 3 GRN 3

34,558 interviews conducted online and on the telephone. The full survey can be access here > Survation survey

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[โ€“] [email protected] 21 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The only poll that matters is on the day. Make sure you go out and vote, don't assume it's a foregone conclusion.

[โ€“] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Exactly. Other points worth remembering. Tory voters are more likely to be retired or otherwise wealthy enough to spare time.

Whereas, labour voters are more likely to have multiple or 0-hour contract jobs. Meaning the press push, this is a forgone conclusion. It is much more likely to reduce Labour turnout than Tory.

Add younger voters tend to have lower turnout. And the shy Tory history. This may still be a weak labour win, or even a Tory minority win.

Go vote tomorrow. I'd also suggest vote tactically. If in an area where it's practical. But that is your choice.

As it is, voting Tory. If that is your wish. Please have fun and get very drunk tonight ;)