this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2024
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Looks like someone took some shots at prez candidate Donald Trump at a rally in PA. From the videos I've seen, it looks like he did get grazed.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

0.01% chance based on what?

I think being unsure either way makes perfect sense. You gotta admit it doesn't really line up with Trump's character to be posing for the cameras if he's actually being shot at. Though tou're not wrong to say, that that isn't proof of anything. It's subjective feeling.

But, I think saying it's entirely unlikely this was orchestrated isn't right either.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Well, a conspiracy requires evidence, and without evidence there's no reason to treat the conspiracy theory as credible.

Saying 0% would be unrealistic because there's always a chance, but if you actually believe that this is a 50/50 toss-up, you're just delusional and desperate to feel some sense of enlightenment like every other conspiracy theorist moron in the world.

Given that there is precisely zero evidence of what you are claiming, I'll estimate as close to zero as I can without pretending it's impossible.

But make no mistake, you are deliberately spreading disinformation.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

I'm not claiming anything. It's just really, really early after the event.

My choice of words was not ideal, and I apologize for that.

I'm just saying being unsure of what happened isn't crazy so soon after the event.

You're out here saying what is and is not likely based on your own feelings about what you feel is true.

It's simply too early to say anything definitive about what level of conspiracy existed (in the traditional sense, of more than one person, conspiring).

I am not saying this was staged. I'm saying you're jumping the gun, to say so confidently it wasn't.