this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2024
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GenZedong
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Well the first time the US launched nukes, wasn't it the only nuclear-capable country? And that was before anyone had expectations about it or defenses in mind for it. The world is a lot different now in that way. If we look at how the US is doing in direct combat, it doesn't look good, from everything I've read/seen recently. I don't see why the US military's capability to unleash hell with nukes would be dramatically different; they'd be facing obliteration level counter military efforts, if they can even get their nukes to launch in a competent manner in the first place. Not to mention how much the US is dependent on trade, so nuking large parts of the world could tear apart the bread and circuses in short order.
I mean, I'm not saying "view it as insignificant and don't take it seriously," but like, I'm skeptical of how their on paper doctrine type stuff would actually translate to reality.
I don't think we should be correlating nuclear capability with conventional military power.
Yeah, the US military is on the decline. They have shit equipment, bad logistics, and not enough soldiers to carry out a global conflict.
But a nuclear exchange does not need any of these things, except equipment/technology, which is largely shrouded in secrecy, so we don't know what exactly their state is. We know that a bunch of their systems are automatic, and I wouldn't put it past them to be implementing AI for targeting.
They also have a bunch of politicians, officers and bureaucrats that seem to be trigger-happy.
At any rate, even if the US is unable to carry out an effective launch, even if 5-10% of their nukes successfully strike anything, we are talking about massive devastation.