this post was submitted on 18 Jul 2024
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[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Maybe so. Maybe capitalism can never remain checked because the temptation to acquire more wealth will always end up winning. You'd like to think that people are better than that, buuuuut...

[–] [email protected] 12 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Which system IS stable? AFAICT every system ever has allowed some people more power than others and those people cleave more power to themselves over time. This appears to be how most empires fall

[–] [email protected] 11 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

Good question! The oldest government still in operation appears to be San Marino, a tiny country near Italy, at around 415 years. Considering that even at a small size it's only been around that long despite civilization being around 6000 years old, I think it's safe to say we haven't managed a system that has real staying power yet.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (2 children)

There's hunter-gatherer tribes that have been more or less stable for over a thousand years. It's said that the Nez Perce have lived on the Columbia River for 11,500 years.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

Yeah, but for the purpose of looking at stable governments in cities, hunter-gather societies aren't a helpful comparison.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Good points but my question is more about governments that work at the scale of a nation state.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 4 months ago

I think it's possible that nation states are inherently unstable. An improvement on monarchy, but still vulnerable to oligarchy.

I'm not sure what the future holds, or what comes next, but I suspect that federation will play an important role.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago (2 children)

Yep, and it's also inherently unsustainable and will collapse.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (2 children)

There are a lot of capitalist countries that haven't collapsed yet. We'll need longer than our lifetimes to see proof that it can never work.

But I suspect that people in power just aren't good enough to keep it from going bad eventually.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 4 months ago

There are a lot of capitalist countries that haven't collapsed yet. We'll need longer than our lifetimes to see proof that it can never work.

It's more that it's unsustainable. Collapse can be delayed, but not outright prevented as long as the Tendency for the Rate of Profit to Fall exists.

But I suspect that people in power just aren't good enough to keep it from going bad eventually.

It's already "bad," just constantly decaying.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago

I mean we do have a pretty good indication of a quite large impending factor which may cause a lot of them to collapse in the coming years, and which could collectively be attributed to them pretty well, especially within the last 50 years.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

That is an interesting argument, but where is the proof? Economics is a very murky "science" as it is, a broad statement such as "capitalism is inherently unstable" needs some healthy data backing it up.

The same argument could be made about communism, as an economic system it doesn't have the best track record.

Socialism seems to have a pretty good track record. But even in socialism there are issues, especially around ensuring a steady supply of kids coming through, once population starts falling the cracks start appearing.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (2 children)

That is an interesting argument, but where is the proof? Economics is a very murky "science" as it is, a broad statement such as "capitalism is inherently unstable" needs some healthy data backing it up.

Marx makes his case for it in Capital, specifically Volume 3, Chapter 13-15, though it's easier to digest Wage Labor and Capital and Value, Price and Profit. Essentially, competition forces prices lower, and automation and increased production lower the price floor. Automation is pursued because it temporarily allows you to outcompete, until other firms can produce at the same price, forcing prices to match at a new floor. This continues. It's more like gravity than an invisible hand, there do exist ways to push back against it, but the overall trend is negative, as the Rate of Profit falls to 0.

The same argument could be made about communism, as an economic system it doesn't have the best track record.

It can't, because Communism abolishes this system. Communism has a good track record when properly put into historical context and is definitely the correct goal to pursue.

Socialism seems to have a pretty good track record. But even in socialism there are issues, especially around ensuring a steady supply of kids coming through, once population starts falling the cracks start appearing.

Socialism is just the precursor to Communism. The USSR, Cuba, PRC, Vietnam, Laos, etc. are/were all Socialist, building towards Communism, I don't see why you say Communism has a bad track record but Socialism has a good track record, that seems contradictory. Further still, I don't see what birth rates have to do with anything.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

I'd say that Marxism at least is fatally flawed. The idea that you start a Communist society by gathering all power to a central council is the issue. Once power is obtained it's never willingly dispersed. This has been the fate of existing all communist governments

[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 months ago (2 children)

This is a fundamental and critical misunderstanding of what Communism is, and what Marx refers to as a State. Marx makes himself clear in Critique of the Gotha Programme, but the State for Marx isn't just "government." Marx was vehemontly anti-Anarchist, not out of principle disagreements, but on a practical and rational basis.

For Marx, the State is the element of government by which class society sustains and protects itself. Ie, private property rights, and the police that protect it. Communism would have a government, its own police, and its own structures and administration through central planning. The State whithering away, as Marx puts it, is the slow lack of retaining the former elements of class society. For example, we no longer have Streetlamp Lighters, as streetlamps are electric now. This wasn't because they were targeted and eliminated, but simply fell out of favor with the progression of society.

Once power is obtained it's never willingly dispersed. This has been the fate of existing all communist governments

This right here is the crux of your misunderstanding. Carrying over from the whithering away elaboration from my last paragraph, the government is not supposed to intentionally collapse itself, it's supposed to remain a democratic worker government, and continue to be built up over time.

Different AES states have seen their own issues, but none of them have been due to "not willingly giving up power," which is a fundamental misconception of how these AES States function, or what the Marxist path to Communism truly is.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Communism would have a government, its own police, and its own structures and administration through central planning.

I don't get how this just whithers away

[–] [email protected] 7 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

It doesn't.

What does whither away are things like Private Property Rights and other elements by which Capitalist society maintains itself.

The "whithering away of the State" is one of the most commonly taken out of context aspects of Marxism, most people associate the State with all aspects of Government. Marx does not make that same association, and used the word State as shorthand for the aforementioned Capitalist elements of government.

This is why there's a big difference between Anarchism and Marxism. Anarchists seek horizontal organization, and Marxists are fine with central planning and endorse it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Are there contemporary sources of how to implement this in practice?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago

What do you mean by contemporary? The theory hasn't really stagnated, Marxism has grown over time. There are AES states that have Marxism as the core model, but each are in different positions on the global sphere.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

While I appreciate that Marx made a case, this is not data or evidence. It seems intuitively true, but that doesn't really move you closer to real proof.

Essentially, competition forces prices lower, and automation and increased production lower the price floor. Automation is pursued because it temporarily allows you to outcompete, until other firms can produce at the same price, forcing prices to match at a new floor. This continues.

I'm not sure if you are trying to imply automation is a good or bad thing. Looking through history, the industrial revolution was bad for the workers of the time, but in the long run massively improved the living standards of everyone. Automation is a net good in my opinion. Competition is simply an accelerator, this is not really tied to the economic system being used. In capitalist or communist systems, firms that are protected from competition (by what ever means) do not innovate as fast or as effectively (see Intel as a great example of this).

Socialism is just the precursor to Communism.

While this can be true, it is not necessarily true.

I don’t see what birth rates have to do with anything.

As your population ages, the costs to care for them raise at an increasing rate. If you don't have enough new workers to stabilize the economic base, the burden that an aging population places on the younger generation grows until it becomes untenable.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago (1 children)

While I appreciate that Marx made a case, this is not data or evidence. It seems intuitively true, but that doesn't really move you closer to real proof.

What would count as real proof, if not prices falling due to competition?

I'm not sure if you are trying to imply automation is a good or bad thing. Looking through history, the industrial revolution was bad for the workers of the time, but in the long run massively improved the living standards of everyone. Automation is a net good in my opinion. Competition is simply an accelerator, this is not really tied to the economic system being used. In capitalist or communist systems, firms that are protected from competition (by what ever means) do not innovate as fast or as effectively (see Intel as a great example of this).

I'm not arguing whether automation is "good or bad," I am strictly speaking about the inherent unsustainability of Capitalism. Automation is good, but in Capitalism is used to purely benefit Capitalists, as wages stagnate with respect to ever-climbing productivity.

While this can be true, it is not necessarily true.

Why would it not be true? This still doesn't explain why you stated Communism to have a poor track record, no AES state has yet made it to Communism, as Communism must be achieved globally.

As your population ages, the costs to care for them raise at an increasing rate. If you don't have enough new workers to stabilize the economic base, the burden that an aging population places on the younger generation grows until it becomes untenable.

Again, this has nothing to do with Socialism or Communism. It seems to be referring to welfare for elderly people, which exists in all systems.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

What would count as real proof, if not prices falling due to competition?

That is the problem I was referring to in my original post, "economics is a very murky science", I come from an engineering and physical sciences point of view. Good economic data is hard to come by, it is always contaminated with chaotic factors that cannot be controlled for. "Proof" may not be possible in economic science.

Why would it not be true?

Because from a logical point of view, there is no necessity to go from socialism to communism. A country could easily decide that socialism is where they wan to stay. When something is necessarily true, not only does it always happen it must happen. That is the point I was trying to make, there is nothing fundamental about socialism forcing that transition from socialism to communism.

Again, this has nothing to do with Socialism or Communism.

I have to disagree with you there, in a capitalist system the burden of care falls on the individual (see the American health care system), whereas in socialism and communism, that burden falls on the state. This is a key economic factor, I'm from NZ and the social healthcare system is really awesome, but as with everything we can see how it could be better.

The system has a capacity, if you want to increase that capacity you have to have the resources to do that. If your population is not growing (stable is not enough) then your health care system is always in danger of not having enough resource. The problem is that the system always need to grow, as we get better at improving the lives of people and increasing lifespan the burden from the elderly increases. The resources used to care for the elderly are finite and use up system capacity.

Even in a capitalist society the system has capacity limits, there is no amount of money that you can throw at it to increase your number of doctors tomorrow. You have X doctors today, this is not easily increased beyond the natural rate (X+new doctors-retiring doctors), all you can do is move the existing ones around.

You can use this argument for a lot of major points of expenditure; education, welfare, transport etc....but healthcare is starkly different between the different economic models.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago (1 children)

That is the problem I was referring to in my original post, "economics is a very murky science", I come from an engineering and physical sciences point of view. Good economic data is hard to come by, it is always contaminated with chaotic factors that cannot be controlled for. "Proof" may not be possible in economic science.

I also come from said POV, as do many on Lemmy. Simply casting doubt in spite of overwhelming evidence of goods getting cheaper and cheaper is not sufficient.

Because from a logical point of view, there is no necessity to go from socialism to communism. A country could easily decide that socialism is where they wan to stay. When something is necessarily true, not only does it always happen it must happen. That is the point I was trying to make, there is nothing fundamental about socialism forcing that transition from socialism to communism.

No, they cannot. Communism is advanced, developed Socialism. In the long, long run, either they move on from Socialism to Communism, or they fall back to Capitalism.

Communism is achieved when the entire globe becomes Socialist, money has been phased out (which becomes a necessity to avoid falling back into Capitalism), all Capitalism has been eradicated, and the previous elements of Capitalist society have fallen by the wayside.

Systems do not stay static, everything is in motion, even if it takes a long time.

I have to disagree with you there, in a capitalist system the burden of care falls on the individual (see the American health care system), whereas in socialism and communism, that burden falls on the state. This is a key economic factor, I'm from NZ and the social healthcare system is really awesome, but as with everything we can see how it could be better.

It also falls on the state in Capitalism.

The system has a capacity, if you want to increase that capacity you have to have the resources to do that. If your population is not growing (stable is not enough) then your health care system is always in danger of not having enough resource. The problem is that the system always need to grow, as we get better at improving the lives of people and increasing lifespan the burden from the elderly increases. The resources used to care for the elderly are finite and use up system capacity.

You can shift resources around as necessary. With replacement, you can still maintain a system.

Even in a capitalist society the system has capacity limits, there is no amount of money that you can throw at it to increase your number of doctors tomorrow. You have X doctors today, this is not easily increased beyond the natural rate (X+new doctors-retiring doctors), all you can do is move the existing ones around.

Generational shifts happen slowly and in full view. You can act accordingly, this is a process that lasts decades.

You can use this argument for a lot of major points of expenditure; education, welfare, transport etc....but healthcare is starkly different between the different economic models.

Only partially.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Generational shifts happen slowly and in full view. You can act accordingly, this is a process that lasts decades.

COVID happened in months, spread like wildfire and put a huge strain on healthcare systems worldwide. No amount of money thrown at the system would have increased capacity.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 months ago

Sure, but it can be reacted to and dealt with easier in Socialism than Capitalism.