this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2024
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Yeah, no. Biden was down 3 to 5, that hasn't changed.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/georgia/
Same for North Carolina...
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/
People are going to convince her they are winnable, but if she focuses on states she's going to lose anyway instead of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, we're going to have 2016 all over again with everyone going "WHYYYYYY??!?!?!"
Harris has an excellent chance in Georgia and it has nothing to do with either party
if she goes and at least mentions things that are currently affecting voters' lives such as Cop City there is a chance
There's no way a former DA is going to resonate with the cop city crowd.
Is she setting up shop there? I thought it was one campaign stop. There's three months to the election, she can at least shake a few hands (if that doesn't bother you too much).
One campaign stop for now, but if they push the kool aid that it's winnable she'll be there more, at the expense of states she HAS to win.
Ah, I didn't know you harbored the impression that she was a child who needed her hand held.
And, as far as we know, it could be winnable. The problem is, if you don't try, it's definitely not.
As neither of us are her campaign manager, though, I think we should probably leave that decision up to her and her team.
Georgia isn't winnable and I'll tell you why...
Biden only won it in 2020 because the covid restrictions enabled more vote by mail and massively increased voter turnout.
Those same restrictions aren't in play this time. Lower turnout = Republican win.
Outside of 2020, you have to go back to 1992 to see a Democratic win in Georgia and that was only because they saw allegiance with a fellow Southerner on the ballot.