this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz easily defeated U.S. Rep. Colin Allred on Tuesday, defying another spirited and well-funded effort to turn Texas blue and preserving his status as a leading conservative voice in American politics.

"The results tonight, this decisive victory, should shake the Democrat establishment to its core," he said in a speech to supporters at his campaign watch party in downtown Houston.

The Associated Press called his victory after 10 p.m. as Cruz was leading by more than double digits.

Shortly after, Allred told his supporters at his election night party in Dallas that he had conceded to Cruz.

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

Cruz's margin (and how different it was from polling) is a shock! This was a systematic miss, I'm curious to learn the root cause once someone investigates that difference... What significant portion of the electorate was missed?

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

10mil people didn't bother to vote (across the nation), and Latinos showed up for Trump and Republicans to the tune of a +10 margin. Also, women showed up less for the Dems, down 3 points from 2020.

ETA: and Gen Z men were +13 Republican

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I don't know if it was really so much of a shock. I saw so many people saying that Texas was trending blue, but every single one of them did not mention the 2022 election in which Republicans swept the entire state by about 10 points. Which is about the same margin that Cruz had here.

Though the polling did seem remarkably off.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 week ago

Elbridge Gerry has entered the chat.