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You are citing a shift based on these results. I am saying people didn't turn out for Harris. 🤷♂️ That will clearly cause a shift in the results.
Let me know when Trump matches his 2020 support, which even if he did is still a loss given population growth.
Turnout went up in Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina, yet Trump flipped or increased the margins in all four. Turnout in PA appears to have dropped only a little, but Trump's 2024 margin is 60% higher than Biden's 2020 margin. Even in swing states it appears the red shift was consistent across all areas and significantly higher than any perceived turnout change. Where we see turnout significantly down is in blue states, which are kinda beside the point. Plus there are over 7 million uncounted votes in California alone.
The whole country turned to the right.
This morning.