this post was submitted on 07 Nov 2024
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No, it's just cope. 1.5 is nonesense. No one except China is taking action on global warming and things are so totally out of control we can't build models that predict the rate of acceleration, let alone the outcome.
Asked a Scripps Institute of Oceanography lecturer over 30 years ago why methane from permafrost melting and the ensuing loop was not being factored in to their models, he said "we were focusing on other things". Guess it must have been too hard?
We just launched some satellites in the last couple of years that are capable of detecting methane plumes in the atmosphere. Before then people were just hauling equipment up there to measure the gasses as they were seeping out. It's difficult and imprecise work.
Yeah it's genuinely really hard and the timeframes are not really known