this post was submitted on 30 Aug 2023
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[–] [email protected] 85 points 1 year ago (4 children)

This rule is actually "an order of magnitude best estimate", which means it's more of a range, somewhere between 0.1 to 10 deaths per 1000 tons of carbon burned.

That leaves a lot of room for scenarios even more dire than the one outlined here.

"When climate scientists run their models and then report on them, everybody leans toward being conservative, because no one wants to sound like Doctor Doom," explains Pierce.

"We've done that here too and it still doesn't look good."

Translation: 10 billion people will die.

2nd translation: Almost everyone will die.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago (3 children)

My wild ass guess is humanity will eventually die back to, at best, bronze age population levels.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Will I finally get to meet the sea people?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Yeah. We'll definitely be set ourselves back for a while. Shame because we are on the verge of lots of great technologies.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

This global economist wrote a whole book arguing exactly that; The End of the World Is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization

https://app.thestorygraph.com/books/667b3daf-4c99-47de-82f6-f74eb7cd2ff7

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago (2 children)

So what you're saying is... we are going to enter a dark age... and we could use a Foundation to lessen it's impact on humanity?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Pretty sure I'm gonna be fine.