this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2023
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the yes isnt gonna win. It should. But I'd bet a significant sum of money it wont. The federal governments entirely failed to rise to the challenge and let potato head kill the thing before it was born. I'd say Albo should resign, but the alternative is the aforementioned potato head.
EDIT: The yes vote I mean. No is clearly gonna win.
If Albo resigns it's his deputy that's PM. I couldn't even tell you who that is right now. My understanding is that for the referendum it's has to majority in every state. I can't see QLD voting yes to be honest.
Overall majority of all voters in Australia PLUS a majority of states have to have a majority YES vote. Not all states, just most of them. And NT & ACT and the islands aren't states for this purpose but do contribute to the overall score. So Vic, SA, WA, NSW, Tas, Qld - we can spare two states to the cookers as long as the overall majority is a Yes vote. We just have to do our bit.
It's the majority of states thing that makes me feel very pessimistic though. I think Yes would pass with a majority of voters across the whole country, but in essence the votes in big, sparser states like Qld and WA and to some degree SA have more weight and I think it is extremely unlikely that these three would have a majority Yes. Really don't know about NSW either. Vic would be the only one that I think is a safe Yes majority
Cool thanks for clarifying. I've got a bit more confidence in the vote now. Hopefully NSW pulls through.
Tbh I couldn’t tell you who it is either. Sorry I meant he should call an early election.
Is it Jim Chalmers...? no that's the Treasurer. Who the fuck even is Richard Marles
No idea, but it speaks volumes about the problem. or is it that the media just isn't giving them as much coverage? Labor do seem to have less "Shit the bed" moments to cover.