this post was submitted on 15 Jun 2023
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Flash forward 8-10 months and the news post reads: βAfter catastrophic exodus Reddit asks to join the #fediverse to add content to platform in hopes of salvaging doomed IPOβ
They don't need to ask to join.
This actually will probably happen down the line. And reddit will only keep its user base if they provide a better ui.
Lmao there's no way reddit figures out how to make a ui. They're doomed if the fediverse keeps growing
Honestly, Reddit is likely to keep on trucking with a decent sized user base no matter what. A massive number of people aren't gonna leave, if for nothing but simply not wanting to have to change. I think the most likely thing that happens is that Reddit loses a small chunk of people, their growth heavily slows due to competition and a slow trickle of people leaving (but likely offset by the network effect still favouring them for new people), and they take a revenue ding because advertisers aren't gonna like all this drama.
The Fediverse will probably have a bit more rapid growth as the blackouts still continue in some subs and more people become aware of alternatives to Reddit, but then just grows slowly, with usability being the big barrier to massive adoption.
Mostly power users will leave for something else, which in turn leads to worse content on Reddit.
power users and mods leaving. The big key is how moderation continues on reddit. whether the scab mods and those that stayed are able to control the bots and spam or not. if they can, then reddit continues mostly as normal.
Probably the most realistic comment here. Changes may come, quality may decline, but reddit is here to stay
Reddit spent years coming up with the shitty new.reddit UI. By the time they improve it again, humans would have landed on Mars
But the instances need to allow their participation and many will not without a hat in hand.