this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2023
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No Stupid Questions

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It won't die in "a few weeks", simply because the likelihood of everybody abandoning ship in such a short timeframe is pretty much zero.

It will almost certainly become irrelevant after some years (we just don't know how many) because almost nothing remains relevant on the Net for more than a decade or two, though even "irrelevant" things still attract a few people so they rarelly "die".

Edit: Also and as a side note, I've actually been questioning just how many people needs to be around here for it to be a good place to be in. I don't think the "millions" of people of Reddit actually added to it and suspect that a few tens of thousand of users are enough for the place to feel interesting to be in and participate in, except perhaps in very obscure and niche subjects were you do need millions of people around for there to be a handful that are interested in such subjects.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It's been going for 4 years now. I think the worst case scenario is it falls back to the numbers it had before this reddit incident.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It all depends on if Reddit continues to make decisions with disastrous optics. If this is the one and only user bump Lemmy will get off the back of Reddit, I can see it dying down in the future, but if there's more I think it'll take flight and eventually start snowballing on its own merits. I'm not sure if it'll ever be mainstream, but it'll persist - as it was before all this.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Maybe, but I think that the branding of the "fediverse" + difficulty of use will make it unlikely to surpass reddit or any other alternatives. It will almost certainly still be around for years to come, but I doubt it'll be much more than niche, despite me hoping for the contrary.

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[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Lemmy might pass for various reason, but the protocol wont. It's here to stay until a better protocol comes along

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

I'm here to stay, and Reddit was my only social media before. But was on that site so many years and it did get shitter over time. Lemmy isn't overrun yet, it's nice.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

I hope it lasts, maybe not with a huge number of users but I can live with that.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

The protest brought me here but I'm staying because I like it more.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I intend to be here for the long run, and I don’t think I’m alone in that mentality.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

It existed for years before reddit had its issue.

On the other side of the fediverse that's more like Twitter, Elon Musk pissed a bunch of people off and we've seen a few waves of new users. How it has worked is there's an inrush of people, some people go "Wait a minute, this isn't my old platform! I don't like it!" and go back, some people stick around.

Once people start to realize how friggin' cool the fediverse as a whole is, I think a bunch of people stay. Especially realizing that it takes all power away from corporate overlords and gives a lot of power to people who run their own instances.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Will definitely loose some users because of small things that come with using something like this. At the end of the day, people are attached and will go back to reddit. That doesn't mean though, that there won't still be a bunch of people using lemmy.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Well, as long as I am around it is not going to die as a I am not leaving Fediverse. And I am specific about it being the fediverse as even if Kbin and/or Lemmy die, there will be others that will take over, I am 100% sure. Whether it will actually surpass Reddit, I have no clue. But I am not sure whether I even care.

And not because I hate Reddit or anything like that. I am just really into what fediverse stands for and even a week ago with half of the users it scratched my itch as Reddit had done previously.

Like honestly, I don't even feel that strongly about Reddit and spez but Lemmy provide all I need so far, from meta stuff, through inteligent conversations to memes.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Lemmy isn't going to "die" anytime soon, it has already been around for about 4 years now, it's not going anywhere..

Maybe activity will significantly slow down, maybe it will go back to being a super small community, but I don't see it completely getting killed anytime soon.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I'm interested to see the outcome of Reddit, since I've been there for almost a decade, but I'm kinda liking the change to lemmy and I definitely don't support Reddit's decisions or direction. I think I'm going to stay here and delete my Reddit account once I see the results of the 30th

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Lemmy will definetly last! I hope so at least. it might never go mainstream, but that a good thing.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I think it will last. Soon there will be more apps and some patches for bugs, that will make it an even nicer place to keep sharing thoughts and info.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I'm not tech savvy enough to predict the longevity of the fediverse, but I'm certain that Reddit is headed for a collision course that is either days or approximately a year away (based on what, if any, concessions Reddit makes to existing mods/3rd party apps).

If it's a quick death, I think the centralized reddit copies have the edge since they're more familiar/easier for the avg user. If it's a slower death by declining quality, then Lemmy can sort out the kinks and get a solid 3rd party app developer to bridge the knowledge curve.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Too early to say. We'd only really know for sure after the recent growth wave finishes up.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I'm here for the long haul. Reddit was simultaneously the best and worst of the internet, Fediverse seems to be prioritising the best. Now that the apps are starting to hit the public, there's no going back.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I'm staying

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I don't know about you but I'm here to stay. Also, you need to define "die", since lemmy existed long before reddit drama and will be here after their downfall even if users leave it'll continue to exist.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I sure as hell hope so. After everything that's happened over at Reddit I don't feel like going back. I'm not one to come back to an abusive relationship ya know? So like yeah I hope Lemmy lasts it seems to hold up well against the Sands of time at the very least, if it lasts as long as Reddit and things go south instead of having to jump ship, you can just migrate servers. Plus, at least at this point in time, there have been no red flags, all we need is for the userbase to participate.

Edit: Typo

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

If that happens I'm going to see it as an opportunity to go no-social media for a year. I've done this with other things, for example not buying clothes for a year, and my habits have changed permanently with each exercise. I'm convinced that if you can do it for a year, it starts to become part of the fabric of who you are, and if that's preferable you're unlikely to backslide.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I was pretty happy I was able to find my first answer on Google by using lemmy.world in the search today

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Mass migrations are always uphill battles. I've seen too many similar cases that appeared to start strong but lacked the momentum to put down their roots. We'll have a much better chance if just a handful of the top r/ can convince their u/ to move here.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Mastodon is there. And there are enough people to interact with. Not as big as Twitter by any means, but for now it's big enough to use if you find a good Community.

Lemmy would be similar, for now won't even come close to reddit size. But if good communities move here those would stick around.

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