The polls in 2016 were largely on target. Clinton won the popular vote by roughly the predicted margin and the few key swing states that lost her the race had results that were largely within the margin of error. Lots of people took 2016 as an indication that polling is no longer good. That's the wrong lesson to learn from 2016; it just doesn't match the facts.

I bet these polls are within a couple points of the reality, as they pretty much always have been (even in the era of cell phones). They specifically weight the results based on the expected non-response of various groups. They account for the most obvious objection that anybody could raise about a modern poll (this one).

Been a long time. Once I found out it was all bones and hooves and connective tissue, that kinda took the fun out of it.

I'd guess it's behavioral isolation because your behaviors caused the isolation? I'm guessing this is bio?

The polls are worse, by a lot. He is absolutely sinking and not coming back.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/poll-debate-biden-trump.html

🐍🐍🐍🐍

Would all those guys lose to Trump? Probably. Will Biden lose to Trump? Definitely. I'll take long odds over no odds.

He could govern. No sane person can deny that Biden is not as mentally acute as he was four years ago.

It's a pretty decent film, if a little heavy on the religious message.

What a moron

I don't know about you guys, but I'm gonna say this was a good call.

Ditching Biden is the only way to unite two important groups of Democrats: those with some grasp of reality, who recognize that Biden is far too old to run again, and those who still have their head in the sand about the issue, but will rally around anyone who isn't Trump.

If we stick with Biden the election is lost. This will not be the last time Biden has a poor showing in public, revealing just how hard it is for him to speak and think at his advanced age. Every time it happens, more voters pay attention, and his poll numbers will sink more.