logi

If I remember this correctly, the square of the error for the sum of (or difference between) two independent measurements is the sum of the squares of the individual errors. Gauss something.

That would make the error for the 8 point swing be sqrt(2×3.8²) or about 5.4. So at least the swing is significant in each state.

Also, the error for the average of 3 variables is sqrt(e1²+e2²+e3²)/3 or 2.2 so the average lead in the 3 states is significant.

But we can't make a significant claim about the lead in each state.

Ooohhh, that's even better than my local Thai Food Torino, which is also pretty SEO'd.

(Also quite good if you came here from a search engine. Italian run but kitchen is all Thai except for that one Myanmar Mon lady. We love their Pad Krapow)

The republicans pretend to be smart? IDK?

Frankly eating in all the time was a net positive, I'm in the best shape of my life

Eating out is a lot better for me after I moved to Italy, so there is that. And living in Italy and having to make do with my own cooking would be Very Sad. But yeah, context matters a lot. The Italians took this stuff very seriously the first time around and vaccination rates were really high when I was neaurotically tracking it. I should look up the annual booster rate.

I don't know where you are, but I'd be less comfortable in an air conditioned eatery in Texas than outside a restaurant in Rome (where I was at the height). And with the current numbers I should probably start avoiding crowds and recirculated air again.

I'm fine with never eating out again.

Yeah, that would be a severe degradation of life for me, so that's a no-go unless the probabilities shift back to where they were in 2020-22ish.

Posting from a restaurant in Sardinia.

Are you waiting for something to change or will you do this for the rest of your life?

I stopped when we had as much vaccine protection as we were going to get and the virus wasn't causing quite as severe disease any more. Forever is a long time.

That's because the "Did Vote Too" vote is split by the two parties. Clearly we need one of them to drop out to defeat the real enemy.

Edit: although the real real enemy is FPTP and the EC which is the root of all this nonsense.

Can confirm.

Source: married to journalist who counts down the hours and triple checks the time zone math to avoid this.

I don't actually see an argument anywhere? Just an observation, so the downvote confuse me. Is everyone on a hair trigger because of all that manufactured controversy?

She's also got tan lines that would make a cyclist proud while blonde needs to get out more.

Wait, wasn't that superseded by links and then links2 like 20 years ago?

Yeah, massive amounts of exercise without a massive increase in consumption will work. But people act as if you can go for a jog 3 times a week and that will take care of it.

(also your last sentence is mangled)

500 though? If you spread it out of 2 hours, its hardly anything at all. When I commuted by ebike daily, I was probably burning double that 6 days a week compared to driving and it felt very casual.

"probably". Like most people, you are severely over estimating what you burn. This morning I cycled 40km without assistance and climbed 500m along the way. It wasn't my hardest workout ever, but not "very casual" either. That was 850 kcal.