mwguy

joined 1 year ago
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[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Come and join me in Firefox and try out container tabs. Super powerful when you're trying to keep home and work identities seperate.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 hours ago

Indeed. The armed forces has never been known for being a pack of pretty boys.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (2 children)

Or Waltz worked as a teacher, the other men worked as Actors. And they both prioritized thing required in their professions.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Is NOSTR any good? I've heard a bit about it but I haven't gotten my feet wet yet.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

Some signs. But who knows if it's just chatter or real talk.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

Your war. The people you support, Hamas, started it.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

History says that it is. There have opuoentoy wealthy people into Antiquity. But supporting the number of opuoentoy wealthy that modern Russia has requires an organized economy. You can't have 1,000 Billionaires in an 500B sized economy.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Honestly I hope you look at it now and shatter. This support for Hamas (both fiscal and moral) coming from people like you is the #1 thing preventing the rise of a legitimate, independent Palestinian state. And the #1 empowering the poverty of the Palestinian population in the West Bank and Gaza.

When we in the West defacto tell Gazans, "Kill them Jews we got your back, we'll help you rebuild, we'll pressure them to allow themselves to be enslaved. You've got it so bad; it can never get worse." We're giving Gazans a false sense of security. If Gazans were black they would never receive this level of foreign support. If they weren't attempting tourser Jews, they'd never have this level of support.

According to the UN there are 195 countries in the world, including Palestine. 194 of them receive less per capita aid and commit less per capita terrorism. Gaza could easily become the Madagascar or Haiti or Chad in 6 months and be 1000x worse off than they are today.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

Not a lot of North Korean billionaires living it up in the West though. To extract that level of wealth you need a better class of worker.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago

Industry requires labor. And an extract based wealth generation scheme requires a large amount of unskilled and semi-skilled labor along with a relatively small amount of highly skilled specialists to operate.

It's in your interest for the unskilled and semi-skilled labor to be as vast as possible to keep costs down.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 weeks ago (10 children)

Because they'll make a fortune from the next guy too. But they won't see their entire labor pool decimated.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 weeks ago (4 children)

I'm arguing for a Hamas surrender. Don't know if you realized but there's a war on. What your mistaking for a genocide, is a war. A war the side you seem to support started. And a war they can end tomorrow with a surrender.

 

Title is hyperbole. Essentially the answer is maybe but most likely not. Has a discussion about potential poll error in the context of precision vs. accuracy. Notes that the model assumes accuracy but not precision.

 

AI Generated Summary (I've been expirimentign with it):

  • Kamala Harris had a tough day in the forecast despite gains in national polls.
  • She leads by 3.8 points nationally but has a 47.3% chance of winning the Electoral College.
  • The model adjusts for convention bounce, assuming her polls are inflated.
  • Harris’s numbers may improve if she maintains her current standing.
  • A concern is the lack of polls showing her ahead in Pennsylvania, a key state.
  • Recent polls show Pennsylvania as a tie or slightly favoring Trump.
  • Harris has a 17% chance of winning the popular vote but losing the Electoral College.
  • RFK’s dropout and endorsement of Trump may impact her in Rust Belt states.
  • Tim Walz has had a strong rollout as Harris’s VP, but there’s speculation about Josh Shapiro.
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