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It would destabilize the global economy and trade. there is absolutely no chance anyone would risk that. Or maybe they would. who am I to know?.
We said the same thing about Putin invading Ukraine. We somehow believed that the neoliberal globalized economy would allow only wars to destabilize certain regions to make resource exploitation easier for the global powers. Well turns out eventually the global powers are facing off with each directly after running out of proxies.
They said the same thing before WW1 as well. People back then were saying the world is too connected and a big war would disrupt everything so badly that no one would risk it.
But then the sleepwalking took over.
I mean, it would probably be a good opportunity for a handful of really rich people to further their control and ownership globally...so as long as our billionaire overlords value human life over their own personal power we should be good.
That's a good point...... Oh...oh no... Oceania is going to war with Eastasia and Eurasia
We've been shifting imports out of China for quite a few years now. If you look at "made in" labels, I'm sure you've noticed that they've changed from China to Taiwan, Thailand, El Salvador, hell I got a shirt recently that was made in Jordan. I'd never seen that before.
While a lot of stuff is still made in China, that shift means it won't cause a huge destabilization, at least for the US. Of course it will still cause problems, but they're already trying to limit the potential damage.
Pandemic accelerated it a lot. Couple projects I was on were to move production lines out of China to Mexico, Malaysia, and India. The move to India was pre-pandemic to avoid Trump tariffs. The other two were during the pandemic to avoid Chinese lockdowns.