this post was submitted on 29 Jul 2024
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Agreed, and the next (optimistic) step from there would be sorting out the mess in Pakistan and fixing India-Pakistan relations (if China/Russia could broker it with Iran and the Saudis, it's possible).
India, Russia, and China are as complimentary a trio as you can get (when you discard the colonial divide-and-conquer disputes the west loves to agitate). The three working together should be able to set India on the track to truly be a second China (an industrial, scientific, economic, etc giant) as its potential allows.
Indeed, the problems that India and Pakistan have aren't insurmountable, and as US loses influence over them there will be increasingly less reason to be hostile to each other. I completely agree that Russia and China are both acting as strong positive influences in that regard because they too want to see stability in the region.
Militancy is spiking in Indian occupied Kashmir and even overflowing to Jammu now. There are rumours that Pakistan has returned to it's original master for alms and they are making Pakistan ramp up militancy to destabilise CPEC/BRI projects in the region. That's the reason for the thaw, there's a new frontier opening up for both India and China. I highly doubt any similar thawing between Indian and Pakistan is possible in the near future. Or any future, for that matter, where the military establishment in Pakistan hasn't been decapitated.
Oh... well, shit. I knew of the circumstances with Imran Khan and the PTI (and Pakistan being an army with a country is nothing new), but I didn't know things were getting that bad. Hopefully it doesn't go full Ukraine...