this post was submitted on 10 Oct 2024
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What are the chances it becomes split into East and West Ukraine? A kind of reboot of history in our new modern context.
East Ukraine will just be russia. While the west becomes a neo-colony of poland/usa. Idk if Romania or Hungary also wanna take some land, possible, but are pinecones and potato’s really worth it? Annexing those lands are a drain on the resources of romania/slovakia or hungary.
If Russia takes Odessa, maybe I can see Moldova taking the Bugeac (Area between the Danube and Dniester) as some sorta compromise for letting Russia annex Transnistria
As for the Ukrainian territories in the Western side which have Romanian and Hungarian claims,that's much less likely to happen
Really? The area thats full of bulgarians? Does it have a lot of natural resources? Honestly I was thinking that hungary was going to nap the strip of land that they got in the first vienna award.
It's a mix of Romanians,Russians and Bulgarians
It's also historically part of Moldova,plus it would give it sea access and more ports to the Danube
Carpathian Ruthenia I find to be quite less likely to go to Hungary simply because I think what remains of Ukraine will be centered around Lviv and the western territories
John Mearsheimer made this prediction before the war started and considered a worse case scenario. The two Ukraines would inevitably become militarized like Germany was, only now Russia has no buffer. Cold war on a hair trigger.