this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] [email protected] 66 points 4 days ago (3 children)

Burger national election news is scary and depressing. Got anything fun happening in your local or state elections?

Portland Oregon is choosing a new mayor and oh boy. Our choices this round include the lady with 150 unpaid parking tickets, who really probably shouldn't be driving at this point, or we have the guy who falsely accused someone of assaulting him on the train, (there are cameras) who also used public funds to spiff up his wikipedia page and of course hates the homeless.

Or we got Keith, the guy who doesn't seem to hate homeless people, provided they stay at an overnight shelter (he's on the record as being against the 24-hour shelters with onsite case management). Or Liv, maybe better known as the stripper Viva Las Vegas, who seems to be running on a platform of...make Portland good and artsy again? Somehow? (The solution is lower rents).

There is also Mingus. Idk what Mingus has been up to. He's already in the city government, probably coasting on being mediocre and not attracting controversy idk. I think he might be our water guy? Idk the city government is split really weird here. Anyways, not spicy enough to win, or get any real juicy news articles. Has a cool name though. Mingus Ulysses Mapps. Yeah that shit is tight.

You guys got anything fun going on?

[–] [email protected] 40 points 4 days ago

Critical support for lady who rams a Tesla and then drives away.

Broad support to punk-rock sex workers who hate suburbs, deprioritize corporate types, and subsidize artists.

[–] [email protected] 29 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (3 children)

You guys got anything fun going on?

Not at all :(

I guess I can plug this vignette about Josh Gottheimer, my absolute bum ass DEMOCRAT US Rep: https://theintercept.com/2024/03/06/nj-josh-gottheimer-high-school-protest-gaza-israel/

Choice excerpts

The girls organized a teach-in and walkout at their high school in November. It led to an unexpected flood of backlash from the town’s adults, including elected officials; a deluge of violent threats; a campaign organized by a new pro-Israel, Jewish lobbying group; and intervention by the federal government.

Members of the town council were key instigators — and they found a willing audience in a sitting member of Congress. Within hours of the November protest, council member Karen Orgen emailed videos of it to nearly two dozen people, among them Rep. Josh Gottheimer, D-N.J., according to emails The Intercept obtained under the New Jersey public records law. Gottheimer did not respond to that thread, but three hours later, fellow council member Goldberg wrote an email thanking him and other officials for their “hard work.” Soon after, Gottheimer issued a statement condemning the Teaneck school district’s “decision allowing an antisemitic, anti-Israel protest during school hours.”

Gottheimer has become fixated with Teaneck’s high schoolers. At his urging, the U.S. Department of Education opened a civil rights probe into discrimination at Teaneck High. After the school district announced that it would partner with two Jewish and Muslim civil rights organizations — the Anti-Defamation League and the Council on American Islamic Relations, respectively — Gottheimer publicly accused the Muslim organization of glorifying terrorism and demanded Teaneck cut ties with it. CAIR’s New Jersey chapter denounced Gottheimer’s “defamatory attacks” in a written statement.

In response to The Intercept’s questions, Goldberg simply wrote in an email, “Release the Hostages.” Gottheimer, Orgen, and Kaplan did not respond to requests for comment.

...

A few weeks later, Teaneck hosted the Bergen County Unite for Israel Parade. Allie Orgen, daughter of council member Karen Orgen, told the Jewish Standard that she had been inspired to organize it after attending the Jerusalem Day flag march, an annual Israeli nationalist rally in Jerusalem that has often descended into nationalist hooliganism and anti-Palestinian violence. “I want to move the [Jerusalem Day] parade to Teaneck,” she said.

An estimated 2,000 people from around New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut marched down Teaneck’s streets with Israeli flags. The Standard described the event as a “protest,”“parade,” and “party” all in one. Musicians performed pro-Israel songs at a local park. Gottheimer addressed the crowd, saying that “anyone who says Israel is a terrorist state, or an apartheid state, that’s antisemitism.”

...

The controversies in Teaneck seemed almost tailor-made to suck Gottheimer in. He has a history of awkward, defensive, and sometimes downright weird interactions with the public, including in Teaneck.

In 2017, Gottheimer showed up to a fundraiser at a bar in Paterson, a city with many Arab Americans and other people of color, donning a bulletproof vest with an armed guard at his side. In 2019, the congressman had a public meltdown when he saw an elderly citizen-journalist taking notes at a Teaneck town hall event that was supposed to be closed to the press. Two years later, Gottheimer falsely accused a heckler from Teaneck of yelling an antisemitic slur at him. The protester turned out to be Jewish herself. After the October 7 attacks, Gottheimer reportedly said that Muslim Americans should feel “guilty.”

TLDR: If you tell me to vote for this motherfucker I will strangle you.

Actually, for international readers and non-sicko people who ignore this kind of thing, I guess a short recap of Bob Menendez is in order. Bob Menendez has been one of New Jersey's two US Senators since 2006. Particularly slimy guy even by NJ standards. He's been indicted on two separate occasions for corruption and bribery. Got off the first one on a mistrial (hung jury). He would be running again, but the second indictment made that improbable so a "caretaker" is serving in his place. Menendez has very close ties with the "Cuban-American" lobby and is one of the most rabid anti-Cuba members of the US Senate (that's saying a lot).

Running to replace him is US Rep. Andy Kim, from New Jersey's 3rd congressional district (first elected in 2018). I didn't read much of his bio but he studied Political Science at the University of Chicago, so he's probably fucked. He is running against the Republican candidate, a real estate developer with no Wikipedia article named Curtis Bashaw. The election is noteworthy to the mildest degree in that there is no incumbent running for re-election, but the outcome is predetermined (the Democrat will win, the actual election took place on June 4th).

Rewinding to June 4th (the primary elections), life-long organizer and legend Larry Hamm once again ran a campaign for US Senate. This guy was the real deal. He received 47,796 votes, out of the 563,612 ballots cast in the NJ Democratic primary election.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 4 days ago

Andy Kim's campaign page features several blurbs where he touts his work as a "civilian advisor to American generals in Afghanistan under both Democrats and Republicans" and he loves to bootlick the troops, so "fucked" is an apt descriptor. Also linked being anti-DPRK to him being pro-Israel, but that's par for the course tbh.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago

Uncritical support to the literal children that Josh Gottemheimer has apparently declared war on over their opposal to genocide.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

Solidarity with my fellow North Jersey comrades who will likely be dealing with turbo-Zionist Gottheimer for several decades.

The situation is bleak, I'd be shocked if more than 5% of voters here give a second thought to senate and congressional candidates besides the letter next to their name on the ballot. People here are rabid about the presidential, gubernatorial, and sometimes local elections, but rarely more than that. Joshy boy will be with us for a very long time unless he gets caught diddling kids or something of similar magnitude (or hit by a bus inshallah)

[–] [email protected] 27 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Mingus is a Business Alliance guy, not a good dude

[–] [email protected] 20 points 4 days ago (2 children)

He should get into more controversy so I can remember him for something.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Yeah with a name like Mingus I feel like it’s inevitable lol

[–] [email protected] 11 points 3 days ago

sad jazz noises