this post was submitted on 04 Sep 2023
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Image is of container ships waiting outside the canal. While there is usually some number of ships waiting for passage, the number has increased significantly lately.


In order to move ships through the Panama Canal, water is needed to fill the locks. The water comes from freshwater lakes, which are replenished by rainfall. This rainfall hasn't been coming, and Lake Gatun, the largest one, is at near record low levels.

Hundreds of ships are now in a maritime traffic jam, unable to cross the canal quickly. Panama is attempting to conserve water and have reduced the number of transits by 20% per day, among other measures. The Canal's adminstrators have warned that these drought conditions will remain for at least 10 months.

It is unlikely that global supply chains will be catastrophically affected, at least this year. Costs may increase for consumers in the coming months, especially for Christmas, but by and large goods will continue to flow, around South America if need be. Nonetheless, projecting trends over the coming years and decades, you can imagine how this is yet another nudge by climate change towards dramatic economic, environmental, and political impacts on the world at large. It also might prompt discussions inside various governments about nearshoring, and the general vulnerability of global supply chains - especially as the United States tries, bafflingly, to go to war with China.


After some discussion in the last megathread about building knowledge of geopolitics, some of us thought it might be an interesting idea to have a Country of the Week - essentially, I/we choose a country and then people can come in here and chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants, related to that country. More detail in this comment.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Okay, look, I got a little carried away. Monday's update usually covers the preceding Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, but I went ahead and did all of last week. If people like a more weekly structure then I might try that instead, if not, then I'll go back to the Mon-Wed-Fri schedule.

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


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[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

So, the AnCap victory in the Argentinian Primaries is showing one of it's main effects: A new paradigm. Let me introduce Javer Milei's running mate: Victoria Villarruel.

So who's this demon? Villarruel is the daughter of a former Admiral, and if there's anything you need to know about the Argentinian Navy is that, on the XX Century it became a literal cesspool of reactionaires of the absolute worst kind. The Navy has always been rabidly anti-Communist but also anti-Peronist, the Armada played a huge role in the fall of the first Peronist government in 1955, first by bombing Plaza de Mayo (in an attempt to kill Perón) which resulted in numerous civilians getting killed, yes, they bombed the city's main square on a very busy day with BOMBS AND MACHINEGUN FIRE FROM NAVY AIRPLANES, and second as Navy warships bombed oil refineries, pro-Peronist Army units and threatened to bomb civilian areas, even with almost-retired battleships armed with 305 mm guns. During the 70s, the Navy also became known for hideous crimes against humanity, the Military Junta had an Admiral in charge of the Government and numerous warships were used as "clandestine detention centres", that is, places were people were brought in, tortured and executed well outside public view. In fact, the biggest concentration camp during the Dirty War period was operated by the Navy.

And why do I say there's a new paradigm being born? Because a few days ago she held a "commemorative" event for the "victims of the guerrillas during the 70s". Okay, the guerrillas did kill innocent people, in truth their goal was to aim for military leaders, officers and businessmen allied to the Military Junta, but that also resulted in random people dying during skirmishes or bomb attacks, and yes, the Peronists, after the fall of the Junta in 1983, did everything to hide the crimes committed by the Triple A (Anti-Communist Alliance, approved by Perón during his last years alive) during the early 70s before the Juntas took power in 1976.

But her intention is not justice or memory, her goals here are: whitewash the Military Juntas, bringing back the old "They were trying to restore order and eliminate subversion" narrative - Place the blame on the Guerrillas, calling them outright terrorists - Claim "the Left" has "politicized" the "humans rights issue" by just going after the military and the police and not the guerrillas - Create an equivalency between a bunch of ragtag guerrillas (which, by the time the Juntas took power, were severely weakened) and the entire State apparatus at the service of the Armed Forces, which carried out extra-judicial killings, arrests, tortures and disappearences, and lastly and I think most importantly, revanchism. The "military families" took big fat Ls during the first years of Kirchnerism, many senior military leaders were investigated, brought into trial by a civilian court and given sentences for crimes against humanity ranging from several decades in prison to life (Some leaders, unfortunately, avoided trial because they died before 2003, when most of the trials began). Kirchnerism also eliminated two controversial laws which prevented senior military and police leaders from being prosecuted, Full Stop Law and Law of Due Obedience, this move allowed for the continued prosecution of criminals.

So this isn't just a bunch of military apologists doing genocide denial, she does believe the Juntas acted in the defense of the nation, and might have "committed some excesses", but also denies 30,000 people were disappeared by the Juntas (A number that shows up in internal armed forces documents, btw). This is flat-out denialism yes, but holding an event that "remembers the soldiers that died in the defense of the nation" sets the scenario for revanchism, they want to get back, they want their people to occupy positions of power again. It is their time now, their chance to counterattack. This is, of course, extremely dangerous. And since her party won the elections, this narrative gained a lot of legitimacy. The media, even the liberal media, has once again began to speak about the "victims of the guerrillas" very openly. The paradigm of shitting on the police and the armed forces for killing up to 30,000 people in just a few years is dying, a new one, containing historial revisionism and revanchism, is being created.

Did I just forgot to tell you Victoria Villarruel studied at the William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies, an institution belonging to the US Department of State? Sus right? We might just have a very clear CIA asset as VP.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 year ago

Fucking grim.

All they had to do was wait. Like gravity, the cultural power always flows back to the capitalists over time in Capitalism.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 year ago

Uuuuugh, the people of Argentina doesn't deserve the centuries of fascist rule and imperialist meddling they've dealt with. Nobody does, but especially not them.

When is Argentina getting their rock back from the UK?