this post was submitted on 12 Sep 2022
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GenZedong
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No i don't think it can happen. Not in the short term. There is just absolutely no impetus for it, all the elites are pro EU. Hungary may be the only exception but even there i highly doubt it because they just don't have a choice really. They depend economically on the EU too much. But maybe an anti-EU movement will be created by this crisis and that could grow over the next few years. If it does happen it will be a long process, things will be bad for a long time.
I doubt that it'll be a genuine working class movement though, seeing how the primary anti-EU force in countries like Poland or Hungary is right-wing reactionary. And that's what I'm afraid of as well, that it'll be used to strip away the "leftie" (in the right-wing populist lens) elements of the EU, like eg. consumer protection or these meager fucking scraps of rights for minorities.
Yeah, as one poster above mentions, anti-EU topic is portrayed as far-right... but not without reason, overwhelming amount of anti-EU voices heard are far right. In Poland there is basically no left heard at all anywhere. And liberals and conservatists, even the protofash like PiS are pro-EU (no matter how much they whine, it's completely empty). Which means that actually realistic prospect of leaving EU require either complete collapse of said intitution or hard turn right for the dominant political power... hard turn right from what already is protofash.
Also EU is tied to NATO.