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The suspect is believed to be Robert Card, a 20-year US Army veteran from Bowdoin Center, Maine.
(according to Telegrams so take with grain of salt)
EDIT: Name confirmed by news.
According to law enforcement, CARD recently reported mental health issues to include hearing voices and threats to shoot up the National Guard Base in Saco, ME.
Having the #1 high school for opiate overdoses in the nation would somewhat argue against the structural integrity of your hypothesis.
Also reducing public safety down to reported murder rates is some really airtight logic
I also would have assumed that, had they not said "historically Maine safe" then linked homicide statistics for three random years like some kind of chatbot scripted 10 years ago by some 14 year old kid whose mom works for the Greater Maine Chamber of Commerce, yet here we are
Life expectancy across the country is falling like a rock, very few of the root causes aren't incredibly bleak and/or unfixable issues but everyone thinks they understand how violent crime works.
I just tell myself being wrong is just the first step of learning, the only wrong move is giving up
It's probably just the god of statistics and averages biting Maine's ass.