this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2023
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Again, there's a reason Biden had to commit to pulling us out of Afghanistan. There's a reason we're stumbling and backpeddling on our support for Ukraine. There's a reason we didn't try and invade Brazil or continue our campaign to harass Cuba or further ratchet tensions in the Straight of Taiwan.
Blinken is at the end of his rope and knows it. That's why he did the multi-state tour following genocide in Gaza. He can't afford to divert assets to a full blown fight with Israel at the center. Not after Iraq and Iran have aligned, the Saudis are going their own way, and half of West Africa is in revolt.
Yes I know all of that but I suspect Biden doesn't, even if Blinken does. It really seems like they've bitten off more than they can chew here and now the Biden regime is stuck and facing a several potential checkmate scenarios. The problem is that he can't get out now. I suspect Blinken is at his wits end with Joe's stubborn antics and tantrums. You can see by his cringe at Joe calling Xi a Dictator for example.
Some good analysis (non ML) on the pieces on the board here imo. Stick with it, it gets better as it goes on.
Love me some quality analysis.