the_dunk_tank
It's the dunk tank.
This is where you come to post big-brained hot takes by chuds, libs, or even fellow leftists, and tear them to itty-bitty pieces with precision dunkstrikes.
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I've had people tell me multiple times on Hexbear that the Japanese government were about to surrender anyway even if the A-bombs weren't dropped.
You raise a fair point about the Soviet liberation of Manchuria, but like you said we really just can't know for certain what effect either or both of those events had on the Japanese decision making process. Both were war-losing events but without transcripts or recordings we'll never know.
What really speaks to me about the military's fanatical desire to fight to the end is the fact that even after losing both Manchuria AND getting bombed, the military still launched an almost-successful coup against their own God-Emperor to keep fighting. The surrender address had to be smuggled out in dirty laundry, and it's entirely possible that Japan would have gone on fighting had that recording been prevented from leaving the Imperial Palace.